3-Day Forecast

Issued: 2020 Jul 09 0030 UTC
Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 1 (below NOAA Scale levels).

The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Jul 09-Jul 11 2020 is 3 (below NOAA Scale levels).

NOAA Kp index breakdown

            Jul 09     Jul 10     Jul 11
00-03UT        3          2          2     
03-06UT        3          1          1     
06-09UT        2          1          1     
09-12UT        2          1          1     
12-15UT        2          1          1     
15-18UT        1          1          1     
18-21UT        1          2          2     
21-00UT        2          2          2     

Rationale
No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected. No significant transient or recurrent solar wind features are forecast.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-16 over the past 24 hours, was below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Jul 09-Jul 11 2020

              Jul 09  Jul 10  Jul 11
S1 or greater    1%      1%      1%

Rationale
No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected. No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm production is forecast.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Jul 09-Jul 11 2020

              Jul 09        Jul 10        Jul 11
R1-R2            1%            1%            1%
R3 or greater    1%            1%            1%

Rationale
No R1 (Minor) or greater radio blackouts are expected. No significant active region flare activity is forecast.

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