Předpověď počasí ve vesmíru - diskuse

Vydáno: 2025 Jan 13 0030 UTC
Připraveno americkým ministerstvem obchodu, NOAA, střediskem pro předpověď vesmírného počasí a zpracováno na SpaceWeatherLive.com

Sluneční aktivita

24 h Shrnutí

Solar activity was low with only C-class flare activity observed. New Regions 3957 (N21W40, Bxo/beta), 3958 (S06E49, Axx/alpha), and 3959 (N19E72, Hsx/alpha) were numbered this period while the remaining regions were stable. No Earth-directed CMEs were detected in available data.

Předpověď

There is a chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) events, and a slight chance for an R3 or greater event, over 13-15 Jan.

Energetické částice

24 h Shrnutí

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux was at normal to moderate levels and the greater than 10 MeV proton flux was steady at background levels.

Předpověď

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux is expected to continue at normal to moderate levels through 15 Jan. The greater than 10 MeV proton flux is expected to persist at background levels over 13-15 Jan.

Solární bouře

24 h Shrnutí

Solar wind parameters remained slightly enhanced this period as positive polarity CH HSS influences waned. Total field strength reached 10 nT and the Bz component varied between +/-6 nT. Solar wind speeds decreased from a high of around 450 km/s early in the period to end-of-period values near 375-400 km/s.

Předpověď

Mildly enhanced solar wind conditions and negative polarity CH HSS influences are expected on 14-15 Jan.

Geoprostor

24 h Shrnutí

The geomagnetic field was quiet.

Předpověď

Quiet and unsettled conditions are expected to prevail over 13-15 Jan, with negative polarity CH HSS influences likely on 14-15 Jan.