Viewing archive of Wednesday, 8 January 2020

Daily bulletin on solar and geomagnetic activity from the SIDC

Issued: 2020 Jan 08 1231 UTC

SIDC Forecast

Valid from 1230 UTC, 08 Jan 2020 until 10 Jan 2020
Solar flares

Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)

Geomagnetism

Minor storm expected (A>=30 or K=5)

Solar protons

Quiet

10cm fluxAp
08 Jan 2020072017
09 Jan 2020072015
10 Jan 2020072010

Bulletin

The solar activity has been at low levels over the past 24 hours. The sunspot group (Catania sunspot group 25, NOAA 2755) has now decayed. The X-ray flux is below B-level and solar activity is expected to remain at low levels for the next 24 hours.

Two narrow and relatively slow (about 150 km/s) coronal mass ejections were observed on the East and West limb, but no earth-directed components were identified in the available coronagraphic imagery.

The greater than 10 MeV proton flux was at nominal values.

The solar wind speed continued to decrease slowly from about 450 km/s to 354 km/s. The total magnetic field is below 5 nT, and the southern component of the magnetic filed was between -3 nT and 3 nT (as recorded by the ACE spacecraft). Today, starting around 11:10 UTC, weak enhancement of the solar wind can be observed with the wind speed increasing form 354 km/s to the current values of about 400 km/s. We anticipate further enhancements of the solar wind, in a couple of hours, due to the high-speed streams from the equatorial coronal holes that reached the central meridian on Jan 5.

Mostly quiet geomagnetic conditions were observed with Kp-index (NOAA) ranging between 0 and 2, and K-Dourbes between 0 and 3. Active geomagnetic conditions with a possible short-duration minor storm are expected with the arrival of the high-speed streams later today.

Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 000, based on 09 stations.

Solar indices for 07 Jan 2020

Wolf number Catania011
10cm solar flux072
AK Chambon La Forêt009
AK Wingst006
Estimated Ap004
Estimated international sunspot number000 - Based on 16 stations

Noticeable events summary

DayBeginMaxEndLocStrengthOP10cmCatania/NOAARadio burst types
None

Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive

All times in UTC

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Current data suggests there is a high possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Sodankylä, Utsjoki
Tromsø
Murmansk
Kiruna

Current data suggests there is a moderate possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Tórshavn
Oulu, Rovaniemi
Kirkenes, Trondheim
Arkhangelsk
Luleå, Umeå

Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Kuopio
Bergen
Sundsvall

Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following middle latitude regions in the near future

Helsinki, Tampere, Turku
Petrozavodsk, Syktyvkar
The solar wind speed is currently moderately high (538.6 km/sec.)
The strength of the interplanetary magnetic field is moderate (11.19nT), the direction is slightly South (-9.98nT).
The Disturbance Storm Time index predicts moderate storm conditions right now (-90nT)

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