Viewing archive of Saturday, 19 January 2013

Daily bulletin on solar and geomagnetic activity from the SIDC

Issued: 2013 Jan 19 1152 UTC

SIDC Forecast

Valid from 1230 UTC, 19 Jan 2013 until 21 Jan 2013
Solar flares

Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)

Geomagnetism

Minor geomagnetic storm expected (A>=30 or K=5)

Solar protons

Quiet

10cm fluxAp
19 Jan 2013109011
20 Jan 2013100016
21 Jan 2013098004

Bulletin

Solar conditions where quiet featuring some small C flares and one C5.8 flare originating from AR NOAA 1654. Quiet conditions are expected to continue for the next 24 hours. Geomagnetic conditions where moderate with K values between 2 and 4, but are expected to increase with the expected arrival of the CME of wednesday January 16th 19:12 UT as seen in LASCO C2. Geomagnetic conditions are expected to return to quiet conditions on Sunday January 20th.

Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 032, based on 04 stations.

Solar indices for 18 Jan 2013

Wolf number Catania039
10cm solar flux115
AK Chambon La Forêt018
AK Wingst014
Estimated Ap013
Estimated international sunspot number026 - Based on 10 stations

Noticeable events summary

DayBeginMaxEndLocStrengthOP10cmRadio burst typesCatania/NOAA
None

Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive

All times in UTC

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Current data suggests there is a high possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Rovaniemi, Sodankylä, Utsjoki
Kirkenes, Tromsø
Murmansk
Kiruna

Current data suggests there is a moderate possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Tórshavn
Oulu
Trondheim
Arkhangelsk, Vorkuta
Luleå, Umeå

Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Kuopio
Bergen, Oslo
Sundsvall

Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following middle latitude regions in the near future

Helsinki, Tampere, Turku
Petrozavodsk, Syktyvkar
The solar wind speed is currently moderately high (551 km/sec.)
The strength of the interplanetary magnetic field is moderate (11.54nT), the direction is slightly South (-0.25nT).
The Disturbance Storm Time index predicts moderate storm conditions right now (-81nT)

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