Viewing archive of Thursday, 4 October 2018

Daily bulletin on solar and geomagnetic activity from the SIDC

Issued: 2018 Oct 04 1230 UTC

SIDC Forecast

Valid from 1230 UTC, 04 Oct 2018 until 06 Oct 2018
Solar flares

Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)

Geomagnetism

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

Solar protons

Quiet

10cm fluxAp
04 Oct 2018068006
05 Oct 2018067007
06 Oct 2018066007

Bulletin

The active region visible on the solar disc, NOAA 2723 with beta magnetic field configuration, is slowly decaying. No C-class flares in past 24 h. Solar activity is expected to remain at low levels.

No Earth directed Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) have been detected. Solar protons have remained at background levels over the past 24 hours.

The solar wind speed is at 410 km/s with interplanetary magnetic fields of 5 nT. Geomagnetic conditions have been quiet to unsettled. The fast solar wind associated with a small negative polarity equatorial coronal hole influenced the Earth overnight, but caused only unsettled conditions (Kp = 3 and K at Dourbes = 3) with speeds slightly above 500 km/s and interplanetary magnetic field reaching 10 nT. Quiet conditions expected for the next 48 h. The fast solar wind associated with a positive polarity coronal hole will arrive to the Earth on October 7-8, causing disturbed geomagnetic conditions.

Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 011, based on 15 stations.

Solar indices for 03 Oct 2018

Wolf number Catania///
10cm solar flux068
AK Chambon La Forêt012
AK Wingst006
Estimated Ap005
Estimated international sunspot number013 - Based on 30 stations

Noticeable events summary

DayBeginMaxEndLocStrengthOP10cmCatania/NOAARadio burst types
None

Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive

All times in UTC

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Current data suggests there is a high possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Rovaniemi, Sodankylä, Utsjoki
Kirkenes, Tromsø
Murmansk
Kiruna

Current data suggests there is a moderate possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Tórshavn
Oulu
Trondheim
Arkhangelsk, Vorkuta
Luleå, Umeå

Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Kuopio
Bergen, Oslo
Sundsvall

Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following middle latitude regions in the near future

Helsinki, Tampere, Turku
Petrozavodsk, Syktyvkar
The solar wind speed is currently moderately high (565.1 km/sec.)
The strength of the interplanetary magnetic field is moderate (11.61nT), the direction is slightly South (-5.17nT).
The Disturbance Storm Time index predicts moderate storm conditions right now (-76nT)

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