Issued: 2018 Sep 07 1230 UTC
Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)
Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)
Quiet
10cm flux | Ap | |
---|---|---|
07 Sep 2018 | 067 | 011 |
08 Sep 2018 | 067 | 010 |
09 Sep 2018 | 067 | 006 |
Solar activity was at very low levels. The Sun remained spotless. No earth-directed coronal mass ejections (CMEs) were observed in the available coronagraphic imagery. The greater than 10 MeV proton flux was at nominal levels. A trans-equatorial extension of the positive polarity coronal hole (CH) at the Sun's north pole has started its transit of the Central Meridian early on 7 September.
Solar activity is expected to remain at very low levels.
Solar wind was steady at nominal values, until the arrival of the co- rotating interaction region (CIR) and wind stream from the negative polarity CH. The CIR arrived around 19:30UT, with solar wind density increasing from about 5 to 24 particles/cm3 by midnight, and the interplanetary magnetic field changing direction from mostly away to mostly towards the Sun. Solar wind speed started to increase from 02:30UT onwards, reaching a maximum near 510 km/s by 08UT, and is steady since then (DSCOVR). Bz varied between -4 and +4 nT, being mostly positive, and with a strong positive episode near +10 nT from 04UT till 07UT, with little interruption.
Due to the predominately positive Bz, mostly quiet geomagnetic conditions were observed. Quiet to unsettled geomagnetic conditions are expected, with a decreasing chance on an active episode as the CH wind stream is passing by.
Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 000, based on 24 stations.
Wolf number Catania | 000 |
10cm solar flux | 067 |
AK Chambon La Forêt | 010 |
AK Wingst | 005 |
Estimated Ap | 004 |
Estimated international sunspot number | 000 - Based on 26 stations |
Day | Begin | Max | End | Loc | Strength | OP | 10cm | Catania/NOAA | Radio burst types | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
None |
Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive
All times in UTC
Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
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The OVATION model predicts the Hemispheric Power Index to reach 50GW at 04:56 UTC
Active geomagnetic conditions (Kp4) Threshold Reached: 01:32 UTC
Moderate M2.5 flare
Minor R1 radio blackout in progress (≥M1 - current: M1.45)
Begin Time: 01/04/2025 06:45 UTC Maximum Time: 01/04/2025 06:45 UTC Duration: 1 minutes. Peak flux: 190 sfu
Last X-flare | 2025/03/28 | X1.1 |
Last M-flare | 2025/04/01 | M2.5 |
Last geomagnetic storm | 2025/03/27 | Kp5 (G1) |
Spotless days | |
---|---|
Last spotless day | 2022/06/08 |
Monthly mean Sunspot Number | |
---|---|
February 2025 | 154.6 +17.6 |
April 2025 | 152.5 -2.1 |
Last 30 days | 130.7 -17.9 |