Viewing archive of Friday, 7 September 2018

Daily bulletin on solar and geomagnetic activity from the SIDC

Issued: 2018 Sep 07 1230 UTC

SIDC Forecast

Valid from 1230 UTC, 07 Sep 2018 until 09 Sep 2018
Solar flares

Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)

Geomagnetism

Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)

Solar protons

Quiet

10cm fluxAp
07 Sep 2018067011
08 Sep 2018067010
09 Sep 2018067006

Bulletin

Solar activity was at very low levels. The Sun remained spotless. No earth-directed coronal mass ejections (CMEs) were observed in the available coronagraphic imagery. The greater than 10 MeV proton flux was at nominal levels. A trans-equatorial extension of the positive polarity coronal hole (CH) at the Sun's north pole has started its transit of the Central Meridian early on 7 September.

Solar activity is expected to remain at very low levels.

Solar wind was steady at nominal values, until the arrival of the co- rotating interaction region (CIR) and wind stream from the negative polarity CH. The CIR arrived around 19:30UT, with solar wind density increasing from about 5 to 24 particles/cm3 by midnight, and the interplanetary magnetic field changing direction from mostly away to mostly towards the Sun. Solar wind speed started to increase from 02:30UT onwards, reaching a maximum near 510 km/s by 08UT, and is steady since then (DSCOVR). Bz varied between -4 and +4 nT, being mostly positive, and with a strong positive episode near +10 nT from 04UT till 07UT, with little interruption.

Due to the predominately positive Bz, mostly quiet geomagnetic conditions were observed. Quiet to unsettled geomagnetic conditions are expected, with a decreasing chance on an active episode as the CH wind stream is passing by.

Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 000, based on 24 stations.

Solar indices for 06 Sep 2018

Wolf number Catania000
10cm solar flux067
AK Chambon La Forêt010
AK Wingst005
Estimated Ap004
Estimated international sunspot number000 - Based on 26 stations

Noticeable events summary

DayBeginMaxEndLocStrengthOP10cmCatania/NOAARadio burst types
None

Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive

All times in UTC

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Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Gillam, MB, Yellowknife, NT

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