Solar activity report

Below you'll find a daily report brought to you by the NOAA about the solar activity and auroral activity during the past day and the prediction for the coming days. This page is daily updated around midnight.

Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2025 Apr 09 2200 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 99 Issued at 2200Z on 09 Apr 2025

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 08-2100Z to 09-2100Z

Solar activity has been at moderate levels for the past 24 hours. There are currently 8 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be low with a chance for M-class flares on days one, two, and three (10 Apr, 11 Apr, 12 Apr).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 08-2100Z to 09-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been at unsettled to minor storm levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 613 km/s at 09/0248Z. Total IMF reached 10 nT at 09/0918Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -8 nT at 09/0625Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 4866 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels on day one (10 Apr) and unsettled to active levels on days two and three (11 Apr, 12 Apr).
III. Event Probabilities 10 Apr to 12 Apr
Class M45%45%45%
Class X05%05%05%
Proton05%05%05%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       09 Apr 167
  Predicted   10 Apr-12 Apr 160/155/155
  90 Day Mean        09 Apr 178

V. Geomagnetic A Indices
  Observed Afr/Ap 08 Apr  020/ NA
  Estimated     Afr/Ap 09 Apr  017/025
  Predicted    Afr/Ap 10 Apr-12 Apr  011/012-014/018-015/020

VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 10 Apr to 12 Apr
A. Middle Latitudes
Active30%30%35%
Minor storm15%15%15%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active15%15%15%
Minor storm30%30%30%
Major-severe storm45%45%50%

Active geomagnetic conditions

Observed Kp: 4
Threshold reached: 01:41 UTC

Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Gillam, MB, Iqaluit, NU
Nuuk
Tórshavn
Reykjavik

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Latest alerts

01:45 UTC - Geomagnetic activity

Active geomagnetic conditions (Kp4) Threshold Reached: 01:41 UTC

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Wednesday, 9 April 2025
08:12 UTC - Hemispheric Power Index

The OVATION model predicts the Hemispheric Power Index to reach 76GW at 08:57 UTC


02:00 UTC - Geomagnetic activity

Minor G1 geomagnetic storm (Kp5) Threshold Reached: 01:45 UTC

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Tuesday, 8 April 2025
23:57 UTC - Hemispheric Power Index

The OVATION model predicts the Hemispheric Power Index to reach 50GW at 00:44 UTC


22:42 UTC - Solar flare

Moderate M1.57 flare

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