Viewing archive of Thursday, 6 September 2018

Daily bulletin on solar and geomagnetic activity from the SIDC

Issued: 2018 Sep 06 1445 UTC

SIDC Forecast

Valid from 1230 UTC, 06 Sep 2018 until 08 Sep 2018
Solar flares

Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)

Geomagnetism

Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)

Solar protons

Quiet

10cm fluxAp
06 Sep 2018067009
07 Sep 2018068015
08 Sep 2018068010

Bulletin

Solar activity was at very low levels. The Sun was spotless again. No earth-directed coronal mass ejections (CMEs) were observed in the available coronagraphic imagery. The greater than 10 MeV proton flux was at nominal levels. A positive polarity coronal hole (CH) is approaching the Central Meridian.

Solar activity is expected to remain at very low levels.

Solar wind speed increased from an initial 490 km/s to a maximum of about 510 km/s around 13UT, before gradually declining to its current values just above 400 km/s (DSCOVR). Bz softened from -6 nT at the beginning of the period to a more stable range between -3 and +2 nT after 18UT. The direction of the interplanetary magnetic field was mostly in a positive sector (away from the Sun), with some negative excursions.

Quiet to unsettled geomagnetic conditions were observed, with K Dourbes recording an isolated active episode during the 10-13UT interval on 5 September. Quiet to active geomagnetic conditions are expected in response to the arrival later today or tomorrow (7 September) of the co-rotating interaction region (CIR) and wind stream from the negative polarity CH. A minor storming episode is not excluded.

Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 000, based on 21 stations.

Solar indices for 05 Sep 2018

Wolf number Catania000
10cm solar flux068
AK Chambon La Forêt014
AK Wingst014
Estimated Ap014
Estimated international sunspot number000 - Based on 30 stations

Noticeable events summary

DayBeginMaxEndLocStrengthOP10cmCatania/NOAARadio burst types
None

Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive

All times in UTC

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Current data suggests there is a moderate possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Norilsk, Vorkuta

Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Arkhangelsk

Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following middle latitude regions in the near future

Surgut, Syktyvkar
The solar wind speed is currently moderately high (530.3 km/sec.)
The direction of the interplanetary magnetic field is slightly South (-5.06nT).

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