Issued: 2018 Sep 06 1445 UTC
Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)
Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)
Quiet
10cm flux | Ap | |
---|---|---|
06 Sep 2018 | 067 | 009 |
07 Sep 2018 | 068 | 015 |
08 Sep 2018 | 068 | 010 |
Solar activity was at very low levels. The Sun was spotless again. No earth-directed coronal mass ejections (CMEs) were observed in the available coronagraphic imagery. The greater than 10 MeV proton flux was at nominal levels. A positive polarity coronal hole (CH) is approaching the Central Meridian.
Solar activity is expected to remain at very low levels.
Solar wind speed increased from an initial 490 km/s to a maximum of about 510 km/s around 13UT, before gradually declining to its current values just above 400 km/s (DSCOVR). Bz softened from -6 nT at the beginning of the period to a more stable range between -3 and +2 nT after 18UT. The direction of the interplanetary magnetic field was mostly in a positive sector (away from the Sun), with some negative excursions.
Quiet to unsettled geomagnetic conditions were observed, with K Dourbes recording an isolated active episode during the 10-13UT interval on 5 September. Quiet to active geomagnetic conditions are expected in response to the arrival later today or tomorrow (7 September) of the co-rotating interaction region (CIR) and wind stream from the negative polarity CH. A minor storming episode is not excluded.
Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 000, based on 21 stations.
Wolf number Catania | 000 |
10cm solar flux | 068 |
AK Chambon La Forêt | 014 |
AK Wingst | 014 |
Estimated Ap | 014 |
Estimated international sunspot number | 000 - Based on 30 stations |
Day | Begin | Max | End | Loc | Strength | OP | 10cm | Catania/NOAA | Radio burst types | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
None |
Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive
All times in UTC
Current data suggests there is a moderate possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
Norilsk, VorkutaCurrent data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
ArkhangelskCurrent data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following middle latitude regions in the near future
Surgut, SyktyvkarA lot of people come to SpaceWeatherLive to follow the Sun's activity or if there is aurora to be seen, but with more traffic comes higher server costs. Consider a donation if you enjoy SpaceWeatherLive so we can keep the website online!
The OVATION model predicts the Hemispheric Power Index to reach 51GW at 18:18 UTC
Minor G1 geomagnetic storm (Kp5) Threshold Reached: 01:50 UTC
Minor G1 geomagnetic storm (Kp5) Threshold Reached: 20:20 UTC
Moderate M1.05 flare
Minor R1 radio blackout in progress (≥M1 - current: M1.05)
Last X-flare | 2025/03/28 | X1.1 |
Last M-flare | 2025/04/05 | M1.0 |
Last geomagnetic storm | 2025/04/06 | Kp5 (G1) |
Spotless days | |
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Last spotless day | 2022/06/08 |
Monthly mean Sunspot Number | |
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March 2025 | 134.2 -20.4 |
April 2025 | 148.7 +14.5 |
Last 30 days | 132.7 -9.9 |