Coronal hole faces Earth

Monday, 24 March 2025 16:59 UTC

Coronal hole faces Earth

The anticipated strong G3 geomagnetic storm watch never materialized as the coronal mass ejection that was supposed to arrive early yesterday didn't arrive until today just past midnight UTC. The impact was very lackluster with the Bt (total strength of the IMF) increasing to a moderate 15nT at best and the solar wind speed reaching just 420km/s. A far cry from the anticipated 700 to 800km/s. That once again goes to show how hard it is to forecast space weather events and any resulting geomagnetic conditions. We remain under the influence of the CME and high latitude sky watchers should remain alert for some nice aurora displays but middle latitude sky watchers will probably have to wait for the next opportunity. 

However, we can all dry your tears as we have yet another solar feature on the earth-facing disk today which is very much of interest. A large coronal hole is facing our planet today and this has to be the largest coronal hole in quite some time as I do not remember a coronal hole of this size facing our planet in many months. This coronal hole is located in the Sun's southern hemisphere but does cross the solar equator which means the solar wind stream will likely have a significant influence on the solar wind environment around our planet.

Minor G1 to moderate G2 geomagnetic storm conditions (Kp5-Kp6) are very much possible when the CIR (bunched up solar wind structure ahead of the high speed solar wind stream) arrives which could be late on 25 March (Tuesday) or early on 26 March (Wednesday). To learn more about coronal holes be sure to check out our help article.

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G1 - Minor geomagnetic storm

Observed Kp: 5
Threshold reached: 05:57 UTC

Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Gillam, MB, Whitehorse, YT, Yellowknife, NT
Fairbanks, AK, Juneau, AK
The solar wind speed is currently high (846.7 km/sec.)
The Disturbance Storm Time index predicts moderate storm conditions right now (-57nT)

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