Viewing archive of Monday, 4 November 1996
Solar activity report
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 1996 Nov 04 2200 UTCPrepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 309 Issued at 2200Z on 04 NOV 1996IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 03-2100Z to 04-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. THERE ARE NO SPOTS
ON THE VISIBLE DISK, NOR ANY ACTIVITY OBSERVED ON THE LIMBS.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO
REMAIN VERY LOW.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 03-2100Z to 04-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD HAS BEEN AT QUIET TO UNSETTLED
LEVELS FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS. THE GREATER THAN 2 MEV ELECTRON
FLUX BEGAN THE PERIOD AT HIGH LEVELS BUT THEN DROPPED RADIPLY
REACHING NORMAL BACKGROUND LEVELS AT APPROXIMATELY 0500 UT.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO PERSIST AT UNSETTLED LEVELS TOMORROW, BECOMING
MOSTLY QUIET FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD.
III. Event Probabilities 05 NOV to 07 NOV
| Class M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Class X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 04 NOV 069 Predicted 05 NOV-07 NOV 068/068/068 90 Day Mean 04 NOV 070
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
OBSERVED AFR/AP 03 NOV 002/002 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 04 NOV 007/010 PREDICTED AFR/AP 05 NOV-07 NOV 010/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 05 NOV to 07 NOV
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 25% | 25% | 05% |
| Minor storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 25% | 25% | 05% |
| Minor storm | 25% | 01% | 01% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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