Viewing archive of Sunday, 10 December 2000

Solar activity report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2000 Dec 10 2200 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 345 Issued at 2200Z on 10 Dec 2000

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 09-2100Z to 10-2100Z

Solar activity was low. Only minor C class flares were observed. All regions appear stable or declining. Two new regions were numbered today, Region 9264 (S23E65) and Region 9265 (N17E70). Both appear to contain small H type spot groups. Several CME's have been observed over the NE limb, apparently associated with regions on the back-side.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to remain at low levels until late in the period, when activity is expected to increase due to returning active regions.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 09-2100Z to 10-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled. The field is still under the influence of a coronal hole.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet to unsettled.
III. Event Probabilities 11 Dec to 13 Dec
Class M15%20%25%
Class X01%01%05%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       10 Dec 147
  Predicted   11 Dec-13 Dec  145/148/150
  90 Day Mean        10 Dec 175
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
  Observed Afr/Ap 09 Dec  013/016
  Estimated     Afr/Ap 10 Dec  010/012
  Predicted    Afr/Ap 11 Dec-13 Dec  007/012-005/010-005/010
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 11 Dec to 13 Dec
A. Middle Latitudes
Active10%05%05%
Minor storm01%01%01%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active20%15%15%
Minor storm01%01%01%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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