Viewing archive of Tuesday, 19 August 2008
Solar activity report
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 232 Issued at 2200Z on 19 Aug 2008IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 18-2100Z to 19-2100Z
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 18-2100Z to 19-2100Z
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
III. Event Probabilities 20 Aug to 22 Aug
| Class M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Class X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 19 Aug 067 Predicted 20 Aug-22 Aug 066/066/066 90 Day Mean 19 Aug 066
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 18 Aug 015/023 Estimated Afr/Ap 19 Aug 012/015 Predicted Afr/Ap 20 Aug-22 Aug 007/010-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 20 Aug to 22 Aug
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 10% | 05% | 05% |
| Minor storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 15% | 05% | 05% |
| Minor storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
Current data suggests there is a moderate possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
Whitehorse, YTFairbanks, AK
Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
Edmonton, AB, Gillam, MB, Saskatoon, SK, Yellowknife, NTAnchorage, AK, Juneau, AK
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