Viewing archive of Saturday, 14 September 2013

Daily bulletin on solar and geomagnetic activity from the SIDC

Issued: 2013 Sep 14 1245 UTC

SIDC Forecast

Valid from 1230 UTC, 14 Sep 2013 until 16 Sep 2013
Solar flares

Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)

Geomagnetism

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

Solar protons

Quiet

10cm fluxAp
14 Sep 2013092007
15 Sep 2013093007
16 Sep 2013094007

Bulletin

Solar activity is very low, no C-class flares in past 8 days. Geomagnetic conditions were quiet to unsettled in Dourbes, while there was one period of active conditions at planetary levels (Kp=4) from 15:00 UT to 18:00 UT on September 13, due to the influence of the coronal hole related fast solar wind. The Earth is still under the influence of this fast stream, but quiet to unsettled conditions are expected for the next 48h.

Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 013, based on 07 stations.

Solar indices for 13 Sep 2013

Wolf number Catania036
10cm solar flux092
AK Chambon La Forêt014
AK Wingst012
Estimated Ap012
Estimated international sunspot number024 - Based on 15 stations

Noticeable events summary

DayBeginMaxEndLocStrengthOP10cmCatania/NOAARadio burst types
None

Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive

All times in UTC

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Current data suggests there is a high possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Sodankylä
Reykjavik
Tromsø
Kiruna

Current data suggests there is a moderate possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Tórshavn
Oulu, Rovaniemi, Utsjoki
Kirkenes, Trondheim
Arkhangelsk, Murmansk
Luleå, Umeå

Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Kuopio
Bergen
Sundsvall

Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following middle latitude regions in the near future

Helsinki, Tampere, Turku
Petrozavodsk, Syktyvkar
The solar wind speed is currently moderately high (528.6 km/sec.)
The strength of the interplanetary magnetic field is moderate (11.73nT), the direction is slightly South (-6.51nT).
The Disturbance Storm Time index predicts moderate storm conditions right now (-89nT)

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