Issued: 2013 Nov 28 1358 UTC
Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >=50%)
Quiet (A<20 and K<4)
Quiet
10cm flux | Ap | |
---|---|---|
28 Nov 2013 | 129 | 001 |
29 Nov 2013 | 133 | 001 |
30 Nov 2013 | 136 | 005 |
Two C-class flare sin past 24h. NOAA AR 1906 produced a C1.4 flare peaking at 00:41 UT, the other one was seen from behind the west limb. More C-class flares can be expected. A partial halo CME was seen by LASCO-C2 at 15:13 UT on November 27, related to a filament eruption in the northern hemisphere. This eruption is mostly directed to the north, but a glancing blow to the Earth is possible. The calculated speed is 540 km/s, giving a probable arrival on November 30 around 17:00 UT. Solar wind speed is very low (260 km/s) with magnetic field around 5nT. Geomagnetic conditions have been quiet and are expected to remain so.
Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 073, based on 07 stations.
Wolf number Catania | 100 |
10cm solar flux | 129 |
AK Chambon La Forêt | /// |
AK Wingst | 001 |
Estimated Ap | 002 |
Estimated international sunspot number | 054 - Based on 18 stations |
Day | Begin | Max | End | Loc | Strength | OP | 10cm | Catania/NOAA | Radio burst types | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
None |
Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive
All times in UTC
Current data suggests there is a moderate possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
Gillam, MB, Iqaluit, NUCurrent data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
TórshavnCurrent data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following middle latitude regions in the near future
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Minor G1 geomagnetic storm (Kp5) Threshold Reached: 00:51 UTC
Minor G1 geomagnetic storm (Kp5) Threshold Reached: 23:17 UTC
The OVATION model predicts the Hemispheric Power Index to reach 75GW at 21:49 UTC
Minor G1 geomagnetic storm (Kp5) Threshold Reached: 13:07 UTC
The OVATION model predicts the Hemispheric Power Index to reach 75GW at 13:21 UTC
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Last geomagnetic storm | 2025/03/27 | Kp5 (G1) |
Spotless days | |
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Last spotless day | 2022/06/08 |
Monthly mean Sunspot Number | |
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Last 30 days | 129.8 -16.3 |