Viewing archive of Thursday, 28 November 2013

Daily bulletin on solar and geomagnetic activity from the SIDC

Issued: 2013 Nov 28 1358 UTC

SIDC Forecast

Valid from 1230 UTC, 28 Nov 2013 until 30 Nov 2013
Solar flares

Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >=50%)

Geomagnetism

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

Solar protons

Quiet

10cm fluxAp
28 Nov 2013129001
29 Nov 2013133001
30 Nov 2013136005

Bulletin

Two C-class flare sin past 24h. NOAA AR 1906 produced a C1.4 flare peaking at 00:41 UT, the other one was seen from behind the west limb. More C-class flares can be expected. A partial halo CME was seen by LASCO-C2 at 15:13 UT on November 27, related to a filament eruption in the northern hemisphere. This eruption is mostly directed to the north, but a glancing blow to the Earth is possible. The calculated speed is 540 km/s, giving a probable arrival on November 30 around 17:00 UT. Solar wind speed is very low (260 km/s) with magnetic field around 5nT. Geomagnetic conditions have been quiet and are expected to remain so.

Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 073, based on 07 stations.

Solar indices for 27 Nov 2013

Wolf number Catania100
10cm solar flux129
AK Chambon La Forêt///
AK Wingst001
Estimated Ap002
Estimated international sunspot number054 - Based on 18 stations

Noticeable events summary

DayBeginMaxEndLocStrengthOP10cmCatania/NOAARadio burst types
None

Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive

All times in UTC

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G1 - Minor geomagnetic storm

Observed Kp: 5
Threshold reached: 00:51 UTC

Current data suggests there is a moderate possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Gillam, MB, Iqaluit, NU
Nuuk
Reykjavik

Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Tórshavn

Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following middle latitude regions in the near future

Thunder Bay, ON, Winnipeg, MB
The solar wind speed is currently moderately high (629.9 km/sec.)
The Disturbance Storm Time index predicts moderate storm conditions right now (-71nT)

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