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Low solar activity, coronal hole stream

Solar activity has been low (C-class solar flares only) for 10 days in a row now despite the presence of sunspot region 2209. This sunspot region had a Beta-Gamma-Delta magnetic layout as it transited the disk but only managed to produce three M-class solar flares all while it was close to the limb on the 15th and 16th of November. Sunspot region 2209 is now leaving the Earth-facing disk which leaves the question: are there any other sunspot groups that could ramp up the solar activity?

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Current data suggests there is a moderate possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Nuuk
Reykjavik

Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Tórshavn
Oulu, Rovaniemi, Kuopio, Sodankylä, Utsjoki
Kirkenes, Tromsø, Trondheim
Arkhangelsk, Murmansk
Kiruna, Luleå, Sundsvall, Umeå
The Disturbance Storm Time index predicts moderate storm conditions right now (-70nT)

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Strong G3 geomagnetic storm watch for 23 March

Yesterday around 16 UTC an M1.2 solar flare took place around sunspot region 4028. The solar flare triggered a filament eruption which erupted from the center of the earth-facing solar disk.

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12:18 UTC - Hemispheric Power Index

The OVATION model predicts the Hemispheric Power Index to reach 75GW at 13:10 UTC


03:45 UTC - Geomagnetic activity

Minor G1 geomagnetic storm (Kp5) Threshold Reached: 03:35 UTC

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03:15 UTC - Geomagnetic activity

Moderate G2 geomagnetic storm (Kp6) Threshold Reached: 02:59 UTC

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01:45 UTC - Geomagnetic activity

Minor G1 geomagnetic storm (Kp5) Threshold Reached: 01:36 UTC

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Space weather facts

Last X-flare2025/02/23X2.0
Last M-flare2025/03/21M1.2
Last geomagnetic storm2025/03/21Kp5+ (G1)
Spotless days
Last spotless day2022/06/08
Monthly mean Sunspot Number
February 2025154.6 +17.6
March 2025140.3 -14.3
Last 30 days140 -11.7

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Solar flares
12000X1.56
22024M4.3
32000M2.86
42002M2.37
52001M2.28
DstG
11990-104G1
21989-96G2
31958-85G2
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*since 1994

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