Viewing archive of Friday, 5 June 2015

Daily bulletin on solar and geomagnetic activity from the SIDC

Issued: 2015 Jun 05 1230 UTC

SIDC Forecast

Valid from 1230 UTC, 05 Jun 2015 until 07 Jun 2015
Solar flares

C-class flares expected, (probability >=50%)

Geomagnetism

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

Solar protons

Quiet

10cm fluxAp
05 Jun 2015123008
06 Jun 2015126005
07 Jun 2015129011

Bulletin

Solar activity is on the C-level, with all the C-class flares originating from the Catania sunspot group 80 (NOAA AR 2361). The strongest flare of the past 24 hours was the C2.7 flare peaking yesterday at 15:19 UT. We expect flaring activity at the C-level, with an M-class flare possible but unlikely. A small low-latitude coronal hole in the southern hemisphere reached the solar central meridian yesterday. We expect the associated solar wind flow to arrive at the Earth late on June 7 - early on June 8. Given the small size of the coronal hole, we expect geomagnetic conditions to remain at the quiet to unsettled levels, with a stronger geomagnetic perturbation being unlikely. The Earth is currently inside a slow (around 290 km/s) solar wind flow with average (around 4 nT) interplanetary magnetic field magnitude. The geomagnetic conditions are quiet and are expected to remain so in the next 48 hours.

Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 069, based on 22 stations.

Solar indices for 04 Jun 2015

Wolf number Catania090
10cm solar flux118
AK Chambon La Forêt006
AK Wingst003
Estimated Ap003
Estimated international sunspot number057 - Based on 29 stations

Noticeable events summary

DayBeginMaxEndLocStrengthOP10cmCatania/NOAARadio burst types
None

Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive

All times in UTC

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Current data suggests there is a moderate possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Oulu, Rovaniemi, Sodankylä
Kirkenes
Murmansk, Vorkuta
Luleå

Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Kuopio
Trondheim
Arkhangelsk
Sundsvall, Umeå

Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following middle latitude regions in the near future

Tampere
Petrozavodsk, Syktyvkar
The solar wind speed is currently moderately high (528.4 km/sec.)
The strength of the interplanetary magnetic field is moderate (10.81nT), the direction is slightly South (-8.03nT).
The Disturbance Storm Time index predicts moderate storm conditions right now (-62nT)

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