Viewing archive of Tuesday, 22 September 2015
Solar activity report
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 265 Issued at 2200Z on 22 Sep 2015IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 21-2100Z to 22-2100Z
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 21-2100Z to 22-2100Z
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
III. Event Probabilities 23 Sep to 25 Sep
| Class M | 30% | 25% | 20% |
| Class X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Proton | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 22 Sep 107 Predicted 23 Sep-25 Sep 105/100/100 90 Day Mean 22 Sep 103
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 21 Sep 009/009 Estimated Afr/Ap 22 Sep 009/010 Predicted Afr/Ap 23 Sep-25 Sep 007/008-007/008-007/008
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 23 Sep to 25 Sep
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Minor storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Minor storm | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Major-severe storm | 20% | 20% | 20% |
All times in UTC
Current data suggests there is a moderate possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
Gillam, MB, Whitehorse, YTFairbanks, AK
Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
Edmonton, AB, Saskatoon, SK, Yellowknife, NTAnchorage, AK, Juneau, AK
Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following middle latitude regions in the near future
Calgary, ABLatest news
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