Issued: 2016 Mar 10 1230 UTC
C-class flares expected, (probability >=50%)
Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)
Quiet
10cm flux | Ap | |
---|---|---|
10 Mar 2016 | 097 | 007 |
11 Mar 2016 | 098 | 013 |
12 Mar 2016 | 100 | 007 |
One C-class flare in past 24h: C3.3 from NOAA AR 2519, peak at 12:50 UT on March 9. Most probably associated with a CME (no coronagraph images yet), that will not be Earth directed because it occurred while the AR was rotating over the east limb. More C-class flares can be expected with small chances of an M-class flare from this region. Geomagnetic conditions have been quiet. The solar wind speed is at 350 km/s with interplanetary magnetic field magnitude of 6 nT. A high speed solar wind stream from a small coronal hole may arrive to the Earth within 48h, causing isolated active periods.
Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 069, based on 18 stations.
Wolf number Catania | /// |
10cm solar flux | 097 |
AK Chambon La Forêt | 013 |
AK Wingst | 006 |
Estimated Ap | 005 |
Estimated international sunspot number | 071 - Based on 18 stations |
Day | Begin | Max | End | Loc | Strength | OP | 10cm | Catania/NOAA | Radio burst types | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
None |
Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive
All times in UTC
Current data suggests there is a moderate possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
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TórshavnCurrent data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following middle latitude regions in the near future
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The OVATION model predicts the Hemispheric Power Index to reach 75GW at 21:49 UTC
Minor G1 geomagnetic storm (Kp5) Threshold Reached: 13:07 UTC
The OVATION model predicts the Hemispheric Power Index to reach 75GW at 13:21 UTC
Minor G1 geomagnetic storm (Kp5) Threshold Reached: 23:59 UTC
Minor G1 geomagnetic storm (Kp5) Threshold Reached: 20:02 UTC
Last X-flare | 2025/03/28 | X1.1 |
Last M-flare | 2025/04/01 | M2.5 |
Last geomagnetic storm | 2025/03/27 | Kp5 (G1) |
Spotless days | |
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Last spotless day | 2022/06/08 |
Monthly mean Sunspot Number | |
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March 2025 | 134.2 -20.4 |
April 2025 | 143 +8.8 |
Last 30 days | 130.4 -16.1 |