Viewing archive of Thursday, 10 March 2016

Daily bulletin on solar and geomagnetic activity from the SIDC

Issued: 2016 Mar 10 1230 UTC

SIDC Forecast

Valid from 1230 UTC, 10 Mar 2016 until 12 Mar 2016
Solar flares

C-class flares expected, (probability >=50%)

Geomagnetism

Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)

Solar protons

Quiet

10cm fluxAp
10 Mar 2016097007
11 Mar 2016098013
12 Mar 2016100007

Bulletin

One C-class flare in past 24h: C3.3 from NOAA AR 2519, peak at 12:50 UT on March 9. Most probably associated with a CME (no coronagraph images yet), that will not be Earth directed because it occurred while the AR was rotating over the east limb. More C-class flares can be expected with small chances of an M-class flare from this region. Geomagnetic conditions have been quiet. The solar wind speed is at 350 km/s with interplanetary magnetic field magnitude of 6 nT. A high speed solar wind stream from a small coronal hole may arrive to the Earth within 48h, causing isolated active periods.

Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 069, based on 18 stations.

Solar indices for 09 Mar 2016

Wolf number Catania///
10cm solar flux097
AK Chambon La Forêt013
AK Wingst006
Estimated Ap005
Estimated international sunspot number071 - Based on 18 stations

Noticeable events summary

DayBeginMaxEndLocStrengthOP10cmCatania/NOAARadio burst types
None

Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive

All times in UTC

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Current data suggests there is a moderate possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Oulu, Rovaniemi, Sodankylä, Utsjoki
Kirkenes, Tromsø, Trondheim
Arkhangelsk, Murmansk, Vorkuta
Kiruna, Luleå

Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Tórshavn
Kuopio
Bergen
Sundsvall, Umeå

Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following middle latitude regions in the near future

Helsinki, Tampere, Turku
Petrozavodsk, Syktyvkar
The solar wind speed is currently moderately high (521 km/sec.)
The strength of the interplanetary magnetic field is moderate (10.65nT), the direction is slightly South (-8.06nT).
The Disturbance Storm Time index predicts moderate storm conditions right now (-66nT)

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