Issued: 2016 Sep 07 1230 UTC
C-class flares expected, (probability >=50%)
Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)
Quiet
10cm flux | Ap | |
---|---|---|
07 Sep 2016 | 094 | 015 |
08 Sep 2016 | 095 | 008 |
09 Sep 2016 | 095 | 009 |
NOAA 2585 developed a small delta in its main trailing spot and produced a B6.6 flare peaking at 10:40UT, the strongest flare of the period. NOAA 2588 and a new region near the west limb (Catania 25) produced a minor B-class event each. The 40-degrees long filament in the northwest quadrant remained quiet. No earth-directed coronal mass ejections (CME) were observed.
C-class flares are possible, with a chance on an isolated M-class event.
Solar wind speed continued its gradual decline from about 520 km/s to its current value near 470 km/s. Bz fluctuated between -5 and +4 nT. The interplanetary magnetic field (IMF) was mostly directed away from the Sun (positive). Quiet to unsettled geomagnetic conditions were observed, with an isolated active episode during the 18-21UT interval.
Quiet to unsettled geomagnetic conditions are expected, with a chance on an active episode in response to the waning effects of the coronal hole high speed stream.
Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 061, based on 27 stations.
Wolf number Catania | 050 |
10cm solar flux | 092 |
AK Chambon La Forêt | 026 |
AK Wingst | 019 |
Estimated Ap | 019 |
Estimated international sunspot number | 040 - Based on 26 stations |
Day | Begin | Max | End | Loc | Strength | OP | 10cm | Catania/NOAA | Radio burst types | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
None |
Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive
All times in UTC
Current data suggests there is a moderate possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
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The OVATION model predicts the Hemispheric Power Index to reach 75GW at 21:49 UTC
Minor G1 geomagnetic storm (Kp5) Threshold Reached: 13:07 UTC
The OVATION model predicts the Hemispheric Power Index to reach 75GW at 13:21 UTC
Minor G1 geomagnetic storm (Kp5) Threshold Reached: 23:59 UTC
Minor G1 geomagnetic storm (Kp5) Threshold Reached: 20:02 UTC
Last X-flare | 2025/03/28 | X1.1 |
Last M-flare | 2025/04/01 | M2.5 |
Last geomagnetic storm | 2025/03/27 | Kp5 (G1) |
Spotless days | |
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Last spotless day | 2022/06/08 |
Monthly mean Sunspot Number | |
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March 2025 | 134.2 -20.4 |
April 2025 | 143 +8.8 |
Last 30 days | 130.4 -16.1 |