Viewing archive of Friday, 23 September 2016
Solar activity report
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 267 Issued at 2200Z on 23 Sep 2016IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 22-2100Z to 23-2100Z
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 22-2100Z to 23-2100Z
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
III. Event Probabilities 24 Sep to 26 Sep
| Class M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Class X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 23 Sep 086 Predicted 24 Sep-26 Sep 085/090/090 90 Day Mean 23 Sep 086
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 22 Sep 004/004 Estimated Afr/Ap 23 Sep 005/005 Predicted Afr/Ap 24 Sep-26 Sep 006/005-008/008-013/018
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 24 Sep to 26 Sep
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 10% | 15% | 25% |
| Minor storm | 01% | 01% | 05% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Minor storm | 15% | 20% | 20% |
| Major-severe storm | 15% | 20% | 20% |
All times in UTC
Current data suggests there is a moderate possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
Whitehorse, YTFairbanks, AK
Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
Edmonton, AB, Gillam, MB, Saskatoon, SK, Yellowknife, NTAnchorage, AK, Juneau, AK
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