Viewing archive of Wednesday, 5 October 2016

Daily bulletin on solar and geomagnetic activity from the SIDC

Issued: 2016 Oct 05 1251 UTC

SIDC Forecast

Valid from 1230 UTC, 05 Oct 2016 until 07 Oct 2016
Solar flares

Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)

Geomagnetism

Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)

Solar protons

Quiet

10cm fluxAp
05 Oct 2016093026
06 Oct 2016095017
07 Oct 2016097017

Bulletin

There are two active regions on the visible solar disc, both have beta magnetic field configuration. Solar activity has been very low, no C-class flare in past 24h, but they remain possible.

Geomagnetic conditions were unsettled to active both at Dourbes and at planetary levels (Kp = 4 and KDourbes = 4). Solar wind speed is now at 500 km/s with interplanetary magnetic field intensities around 5 nT. Geomagnetic conditions are expected to be unsettled to active with possible minor storm periods.

Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 042, based on 16 stations.

Solar indices for 04 Oct 2016

Wolf number Catania059
10cm solar flux093
AK Chambon La Forêt///
AK Wingst027
Estimated Ap026
Estimated international sunspot number044 - Based on 31 stations

Noticeable events summary

DayBeginMaxEndLocStrengthOP10cmCatania/NOAARadio burst types
None

Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive

All times in UTC

<< Go to daily overview page

Current data suggests there is a high possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Sodankylä
Reykjavik
Tromsø
Kiruna

Current data suggests there is a moderate possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Tórshavn
Oulu, Rovaniemi, Utsjoki
Kirkenes, Trondheim
Arkhangelsk, Murmansk
Luleå, Umeå

Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Kuopio
Bergen
Sundsvall

Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following middle latitude regions in the near future

Helsinki, Tampere, Turku
Petrozavodsk, Syktyvkar
The solar wind speed is currently moderately high (528.6 km/sec.)
The strength of the interplanetary magnetic field is moderate (11.73nT), the direction is slightly South (-6.51nT).
The Disturbance Storm Time index predicts moderate storm conditions right now (-89nT)

Latest news

Support SpaceWeatherLive.com!

A lot of people come to SpaceWeatherLive to follow the Sun's activity or if there is aurora to be seen, but with more traffic comes higher server costs. Consider a donation if you enjoy SpaceWeatherLive so we can keep the website online!

Donate SpaceWeatherLive Pro
Support SpaceWeatherLive with our merchandise
Check out our merchandise

Latest alerts

21:03 UTC - Hemispheric Power Index

The OVATION model predicts the Hemispheric Power Index to reach 75GW at 21:49 UTC


13:15 UTC - Geomagnetic activity

Minor G1 geomagnetic storm (Kp5) Threshold Reached: 13:07 UTC

alert


12:33 UTC - Hemispheric Power Index

The OVATION model predicts the Hemispheric Power Index to reach 75GW at 13:21 UTC


00:15 UTC - Geomagnetic activity

Minor G1 geomagnetic storm (Kp5) Threshold Reached: 23:59 UTC

alert


Thursday, 3 April 2025
20:15 UTC - Geomagnetic activity

Minor G1 geomagnetic storm (Kp5) Threshold Reached: 20:02 UTC

alert


Get instant alerts!

Space weather facts

Last X-flare2025/03/28X1.1
Last M-flare2025/04/01M2.5
Last geomagnetic storm2025/03/27Kp5 (G1)
Spotless days
Last spotless day2022/06/08
Monthly mean Sunspot Number
March 2025134.2 -20.4
April 2025143 +8.8
Last 30 days129.8 -16.3

This day in history*

Solar flares
12002M8.82
21999M6.76
32001M2.91
42003M2.74
52001M2.31
DstG
11979-202G3
21988-133G3
31984-120G4
42004-117G2
51994-111G3
*since 1994

Social networks