Issued: 2017 Jun 17 1234 UTC
Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)
Minor storm expected (A>=30 or K=5)
Quiet
10cm flux | Ap | |
---|---|---|
17 Jun 2017 | 075 | 018 |
18 Jun 2017 | 074 | 026 |
19 Jun 2017 | 074 | 016 |
Two sunspot groups presently observed on the visible side of the solar disc, Catania 32 and 33 (NOAA AR 2662 and 2663) are showing signs of decay. Solar flaring activity is low with only one B-class flare reported during last 24 hours. The B1.4 flare which originated from the Catania sunspot group 33 (NOAA AR 2663) peaked at 02:57 this morning. We might expect only isolated B-class flares in the coming hours. All the observed CMEs, during the last 24 hours, were narrow and will not arrive to the Earth.
The solar wind speed is presently 440 km/s, and the interplanetary magnetic field magnitude is 6nT. The fast solar wind associated with two large coronal holes (one on the north and one on the south solar hemisphere) which reached central meridian in the evening of June 14 is expected to arrive at the Earth in the morning of June 18, inducing active to minor storm geomagnetic conditions. Geomagnetic conditions are presently unsettled to active and we expect them to stay so in the coming hours. During June 18, active to minor storm conditions are expected.
Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 032, based on 20 stations.
Wolf number Catania | 034 |
10cm solar flux | 074 |
AK Chambon La Forêt | 040 |
AK Wingst | 030 |
Estimated Ap | 028 |
Estimated international sunspot number | 032 - Based on 30 stations |
Day | Begin | Max | End | Loc | Strength | OP | 10cm | Catania/NOAA | Radio burst types | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
None |
Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive
All times in UTC
Current data suggests there is a moderate possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
Iqaluit, NUCurrent data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
TórshavnCurrent data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following middle latitude regions in the near future
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Minor G1 geomagnetic storm (Kp5) Threshold Reached: 00:51 UTC
Minor G1 geomagnetic storm (Kp5) Threshold Reached: 23:17 UTC
The OVATION model predicts the Hemispheric Power Index to reach 75GW at 21:49 UTC
Minor G1 geomagnetic storm (Kp5) Threshold Reached: 13:07 UTC
The OVATION model predicts the Hemispheric Power Index to reach 75GW at 13:21 UTC
Last X-flare | 2025/03/28 | X1.1 |
Last M-flare | 2025/04/01 | M2.5 |
Last geomagnetic storm | 2025/03/27 | Kp5 (G1) |
Spotless days | |
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Last spotless day | 2022/06/08 |
Monthly mean Sunspot Number | |
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Last 30 days | 129.8 -16.3 |