Viewing archive of Saturday, 17 June 2017

Daily bulletin on solar and geomagnetic activity from the SIDC

Issued: 2017 Jun 17 1234 UTC

SIDC Forecast

Valid from 1230 UTC, 17 Jun 2017 until 19 Jun 2017
Solar flares

Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)

Geomagnetism

Minor storm expected (A>=30 or K=5)

Solar protons

Quiet

10cm fluxAp
17 Jun 2017075018
18 Jun 2017074026
19 Jun 2017074016

Bulletin

Two sunspot groups presently observed on the visible side of the solar disc, Catania 32 and 33 (NOAA AR 2662 and 2663) are showing signs of decay. Solar flaring activity is low with only one B-class flare reported during last 24 hours. The B1.4 flare which originated from the Catania sunspot group 33 (NOAA AR 2663) peaked at 02:57 this morning. We might expect only isolated B-class flares in the coming hours. All the observed CMEs, during the last 24 hours, were narrow and will not arrive to the Earth.

The solar wind speed is presently 440 km/s, and the interplanetary magnetic field magnitude is 6nT. The fast solar wind associated with two large coronal holes (one on the north and one on the south solar hemisphere) which reached central meridian in the evening of June 14 is expected to arrive at the Earth in the morning of June 18, inducing active to minor storm geomagnetic conditions. Geomagnetic conditions are presently unsettled to active and we expect them to stay so in the coming hours. During June 18, active to minor storm conditions are expected.

Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 032, based on 20 stations.

Solar indices for 16 Jun 2017

Wolf number Catania034
10cm solar flux074
AK Chambon La Forêt040
AK Wingst030
Estimated Ap028
Estimated international sunspot number032 - Based on 30 stations

Noticeable events summary

DayBeginMaxEndLocStrengthOP10cmCatania/NOAARadio burst types
None

Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive

All times in UTC

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G1 - Minor geomagnetic storm

Observed Kp: 5
Threshold reached: 00:51 UTC

Current data suggests there is a moderate possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Iqaluit, NU
Nuuk
Reykjavik

Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Tórshavn
Trondheim
Sundsvall

Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following middle latitude regions in the near future

Thunder Bay, ON
The solar wind speed is currently moderately high (559.8 km/sec.)
The strength of the interplanetary magnetic field is moderate (11.14nT), the direction is moderately South (-10.66nT).
The Disturbance Storm Time index predicts moderate storm conditions right now (-68nT)

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