Viewing archive of Tuesday, 6 March 2018

Daily bulletin on solar and geomagnetic activity from the SIDC

Issued: 2018 Mar 06 1239 UTC

SIDC Forecast

Valid from 1230 UTC, 06 Mar 2018 until 08 Mar 2018
Solar flares

Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)

Geomagnetism

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

Solar protons

Quiet

10cm fluxAp
06 Mar 2018068007
07 Mar 2018068011
08 Mar 2018068017

Bulletin

Solar X ray flux remained below B level and with no spotted regions on the visible disk chances for any flare occurrences remain very low. SoHO/LASCO C2 images show a very faint and slow CME first visible around 1:25 UT. It is primarily directed towards the south west and given its faint character its angular extent can not clearly be determined. Stereo A COR2 images however suggest that it can not be excluded that Earth is on its propagation path. Further analysis is ongoing but given its faint nature and slow speed any possible impacts should be fairly insignificant. Proton flux levels were at background values and are expected to remain so.

Solar wind was near nominal with speed between 360 and 400 km/s, total magnetic field below 7nT and Bz variable. The magnetic field phi angle was indicative of a positive sector connection. Solar wind may become slightly enhanced from March 8 onwards due to the extension of the northern polar coronal hole.

Geomagnetic conditions were quiet (local K Dourbes and NOAA Kp 1-2) and are expected to remain quiet, and later enhancing to unsettled by March 8.

Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 000, based on 14 stations.

Solar indices for 05 Mar 2018

Wolf number Catania///
10cm solar flux068
AK Chambon La Forêt009
AK Wingst005
Estimated Ap004
Estimated international sunspot number000 - Based on 24 stations

Noticeable events summary

DayBeginMaxEndLocStrengthOP10cmCatania/NOAARadio burst types
None

Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive

All times in UTC

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Current data suggests there is a moderate possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Oulu, Rovaniemi, Sodankylä, Utsjoki
Kirkenes, Tromsø, Trondheim
Arkhangelsk, Murmansk, Vorkuta
Kiruna, Luleå

Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Tórshavn
Kuopio
Bergen
Sundsvall, Umeå

Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following middle latitude regions in the near future

Helsinki, Tampere, Turku
Petrozavodsk, Syktyvkar
The solar wind speed is currently moderately high (521 km/sec.)
The strength of the interplanetary magnetic field is moderate (10.65nT), the direction is slightly South (-8.06nT).
The Disturbance Storm Time index predicts moderate storm conditions right now (-66nT)

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