Viewing archive of Tuesday, 11 September 2018

Daily bulletin on solar and geomagnetic activity from the SIDC

Issued: 2018 Sep 11 1401 UTC

SIDC Forecast

Valid from 1230 UTC, 11 Sep 2018 until 13 Sep 2018
Solar flares

Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)

Geomagnetism

Moderate (ISES: Major) magstorm expected (A>=50 or K=6)

Solar protons

Quiet

10cm fluxAp
11 Sep 2018068051
12 Sep 2018069031
13 Sep 2018068014

Bulletin

Solar activity was very low with X-ray flux below B level throughout the period. The only active region on disk (NOAA AR 2721) produced one A3.5 flare peaking at 12.53 UT yesterday. No earth-directed coronal mass ejections (CMEs) were observed. The greater than 10MeV proton flux remained at background levels over the past 24 hours. Solar activity is expected to remain at very low levels. Solar wind speed increased from about 370 to about 600 km/s during the past 24 hours (DSCOVR) due to the influence of a co-rotating intercation region followed by the influence of a positive polarity coronal hole high speed stream. Due to the strong negative Bz varied between -13 and +11 nT geomagnetic conditions reached moderated storm level Kp index = 6 during 03-09 UT today and minor storm level locally at Dourbes (K = 5) during the same time interval. Geomagnetic activity is expected to continue mostly at the minor storm level today and tomorrow.

Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 015, based on 17 stations.

Solar indices for 10 Sep 2018

Wolf number Catania///
10cm solar flux069
AK Chambon La Forêt042
AK Wingst026
Estimated Ap025
Estimated international sunspot number011 - Based on 18 stations

Noticeable events summary

DayBeginMaxEndLocStrengthOP10cmCatania/NOAARadio burst types
None

Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive

All times in UTC

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Current data suggests there is a high possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Reykjavik

Current data suggests there is a moderate possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Tórshavn
Oulu, Rovaniemi, Sodankylä, Utsjoki
Kirkenes, Tromsø, Trondheim
Murmansk
Kiruna, Luleå, Umeå

Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Kuopio
Bergen
Arkhangelsk
Sundsvall

Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following middle latitude regions in the near future

Tampere
Petrozavodsk
The solar wind speed is currently moderately high (541.5 km/sec.)
The strength of the interplanetary magnetic field is moderate (11.31nT), the direction is slightly South (-9.79nT).
The Disturbance Storm Time index predicts moderate storm conditions right now (-82nT)

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