Viewing archive of Thursday, 3 October 2019
Solar activity report
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 276 Issued at 2200Z on 03 Oct 2019IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 02-2100Z to 03-2100Z
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 02-2100Z to 03-2100Z
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
III. Event Probabilities 04 Oct to 06 Oct
| Class M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Class X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 03 Oct 068 Predicted 04 Oct-06 Oct 068/068/068 90 Day Mean 03 Oct 067
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 02 Oct 007/006 Estimated Afr/Ap 03 Oct 005/005 Predicted Afr/Ap 04 Oct-06 Oct 007/008-008/008-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 04 Oct to 06 Oct
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 15% | 15% | 10% |
| Minor storm | 05% | 05% | 01% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Minor storm | 25% | 25% | 20% |
| Major-severe storm | 25% | 25% | 15% |
All times in UTC
Current data suggests there is a moderate possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
Gillam, MB, Yellowknife, NTCurrent data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
Edmonton, AB, Iqaluit, NU, Saskatoon, SKNuuk
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