Viewing archive of Wednesday, 12 February 2020

Daily bulletin on solar and geomagnetic activity from the SIDC

Issued: 2020 Feb 12 1231 UTC

SIDC Forecast

Valid from 1230 UTC, 12 Feb 2020 until 14 Feb 2020
Solar flares

Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)

Geomagnetism

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

Solar protons

Quiet

10cm fluxAp
12 Feb 2020070008
13 Feb 2020071010
14 Feb 2020070008

Bulletin

The solar activity has been quiet over the past 24 hours. The visible solar disc is spotless and the X-ray flux is below B-level. The solar activity is expected to remain at low levels over the next 24 hours.

No earth-directed coronal mass ejections (CMEs) have been observed in the available coronagraphic imagery. The greater than 10 MeV proton flux was at nominal values.

The influence of the high-speed stream coming from the positive polarity coronal hole has dropped on February 11 around 19:30 UTC when the phi angle switched to the negative sector. The solar wind parameters remained, however, slightly enhanced. The wind speed first decreased up to 350 km/s to then re-increase up to 420 km/s, the total interplanetary magnetic fields was below 6 nT, and the southward magnetic component fluctuated between -4.5 nT and 5.0 nT. The solar wind conditions are expected to remain slightly enhanced for the next 24-hour period. Solar wind coming from the equatorial coronal hole (negative polarity) that reached the central meridian on February 9, may then contribute to the solar wind enhancement in about 1-2 days.

The geomagnetic conditions were quiet with few short periods of unsettle condition observed in Dourbes station (K-Dourbes = 3). We expect the geomagnetic conditions to remain mostly quiet with some short sporadic periods of unsettled condition for the next days.

Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 000, based on 22 stations.

Solar indices for 11 Feb 2020

Wolf number Catania000
10cm solar flux071
AK Chambon La Forêt008
AK Wingst007
Estimated Ap006
Estimated international sunspot number000 - Based on 24 stations

Noticeable events summary

DayBeginMaxEndLocStrengthOP10cmCatania/NOAARadio burst types
None

Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive

All times in UTC

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Current data suggests there is a high possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Reykjavik

Current data suggests there is a moderate possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Tórshavn
Oulu, Rovaniemi, Sodankylä, Utsjoki
Kirkenes, Tromsø, Trondheim
Murmansk
Kiruna, Luleå, Umeå

Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Kuopio
Bergen
Arkhangelsk
Sundsvall

Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following middle latitude regions in the near future

Tampere
Petrozavodsk
The solar wind speed is currently moderately high (548.8 km/sec.)
The strength of the interplanetary magnetic field is moderate (11.71nT), the direction is slightly South (-1.41nT).
The Disturbance Storm Time index predicts moderate storm conditions right now (-75nT)

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