Viewing archive of Wednesday, 12 August 2020

Daily bulletin on solar and geomagnetic activity from the SIDC

Issued: 2020 Aug 12 1233 UTC

SIDC Forecast

Valid from 1230 UTC, 12 Aug 2020 until 14 Aug 2020
Solar flares

Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)

Geomagnetism

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

Solar protons

Quiet

10cm fluxAp
12 Aug 2020075005
13 Aug 2020075007
14 Aug 2020075007

Bulletin

The solar activity was quiet over the past 24 hours. The sunspot (NOAA-AR 2770) continued to produce small B-class flares. The X-ray flux remained, however, below C-class level. An new region showing some activity is currently turning around the East limb (at about 30 degree latitude South). The solar activity is expected to remain at low levels with a very small chance of occurring a C-class flare from the Region NOAA-AR 2770 and eventually from the new region.

No Earth directed Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) were observed in the available coronagraphic imagery in the last 24 hours.

The greater than 10 MeV proton flux was at nominal levels over the past 24 hours and is expected to stay at nominal levels for the next 24 hours. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux reached high levels over the past 24 hours and may reach high levels over the next 24 hours.

The Earth continued to be under the influence of the slow solar wind streams. The solar wind parameters (DSCOVR) show nominal values with the solar wind speed around 300 km/s, the total interplanetary magnetic field below 5 nT, and the Bz magnetic field components fluctuating between -4.2 nT and +3.4 nT. The solar wind conditions are expected to remain mostly nominal for the next days.

Geomagnetic conditions were quiet, and quiet conditions are expected for the next following day.

Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 017, based on 29 stations.

Solar indices for 11 Aug 2020

Wolf number Catania///
10cm solar flux074
AK Chambon La Forêt005
AK Wingst004
Estimated Ap002
Estimated international sunspot number012 - Based on 33 stations

Noticeable events summary

DayBeginMaxEndLocStrengthOP10cmCatania/NOAARadio burst types
None

Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive

All times in UTC

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G1 - Minor geomagnetic storm

Observed Kp: 5
Threshold reached: 23:19 UTC

Current data suggests there is a high possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Reykjavik

Current data suggests there is a moderate possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Tórshavn
Oulu, Rovaniemi, Sodankylä, Utsjoki
Kirkenes, Tromsø, Trondheim
Murmansk
Kiruna, Luleå

Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Kuopio
Bergen
Arkhangelsk
Sundsvall, Umeå

Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following middle latitude regions in the near future

Tampere
Petrozavodsk
The solar wind speed is currently moderately high (551.7 km/sec.)
The strength of the interplanetary magnetic field is moderate (10.81nT), the direction is North (6.62nT).
The Disturbance Storm Time index predicts moderate storm conditions right now (-73nT)

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