Viewing archive of Friday, 14 August 2020

Daily bulletin on solar and geomagnetic activity from the SIDC

Issued: 2020 Aug 14 1237 UTC

SIDC Forecast

Valid from 1230 UTC, 14 Aug 2020 until 16 Aug 2020
Solar flares

C-class flares expected, (probability >=50%)

Geomagnetism

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

Solar protons

Quiet

10cm fluxAp
14 Aug 2020072007
15 Aug 2020072007
16 Aug 2020072007

Bulletin

The solar activity was quiet over the past 24 hours. The X-ray flux remained below B-class level. The two sunspots (NOAA-AR 2770 and NOAA- AR 2771) have now decayed into pages. The solar activity is expected to remain at low levels.

No Earth directed Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) were observed in the available coronagraphic imagery in the last 24 hours.

The greater than 10 MeV proton flux was at nominal levels over the past 24 hours and is expected to stay at nominal levels for the next 24 hours. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux reached moderate levels over the past 24 hours and is expected to reach up to moderate levels over the next 24 hours.

The Earth continued to be under the influence of the slow solar wind streams with the solar wind speed around 275-320 km/s, the total interplanetary magnetic field below 5 nT, and the Bz magnetic field components fluctuating between -4 nT and +4 nT. The solar wind conditions are expected to remain mostly nominal for the next days.

Geomagnetic conditions were quiet, and quiet conditions are expected for the next following days.

Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 006, based on 17 stations.

Solar indices for 13 Aug 2020

Wolf number Catania///
10cm solar flux072
AK Chambon La Forêt009
AK Wingst006
Estimated Ap004
Estimated international sunspot number013 - Based on 23 stations

Noticeable events summary

DayBeginMaxEndLocStrengthOP10cmCatania/NOAARadio burst types
None

Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive

All times in UTC

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G1 - Minor geomagnetic storm

Observed Kp: 5
Threshold reached: 00:51 UTC

Current data suggests there is a moderate possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Iqaluit, NU
Nuuk
Reykjavik

Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Tórshavn
Trondheim

Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following middle latitude regions in the near future

Thunder Bay, ON
The solar wind speed is currently moderately high (611.9 km/sec.)
The strength of the interplanetary magnetic field is moderate (11.26nT), the direction is slightly South (-2.15nT).
The Disturbance Storm Time index predicts moderate storm conditions right now (-67nT)

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