Viewing archive of Tuesday, 30 March 2021

Daily bulletin on solar and geomagnetic activity from the SIDC

Issued: 2021 Mar 30 1231 UTC

SIDC Forecast

Valid from 1230 UTC, 30 Mar 2021 until 01 Apr 2021
Solar flares

Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)

Geomagnetism

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

Solar protons

Quiet

10cm fluxAp
30 Mar 2021074003
31 Mar 2021074006
01 Apr 2021074007

Bulletin

Solar activity was at low levels over the past 24 hours with only one sunspot on the visible solar disc. The Catania sunspot group 83 (NOAA- AR 2812) slightly grew but did not produce any flare. Solar activity is expected to remain at low levels.

No Earth-directed coronal mass ejections (CMEs) was observed in the available coronagraph imagery.

The greater than 10 MeV proton flux was at nominal levels over the past 24 hours and is expected to remain so for the next 24 hours. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux was below the 1000 pfu threshold in the past 24 hours and is expected to remain so during the next 24 hours. The 24h electron fluence is at normal levels in the last 24 hours and is expected to stay at normal levels for the next 24 hours.

The Earth is currently in the slow solar wind regime. The solar wind parameters (ACE and DSCOVR) were at nominal levels over the past 24 hours: The solar wind speed ranged between 310 km/s and 350 km/s . The interplanetary magnetic field magnitude was below 6 nT, and Bz component varied between -3 nT and 4 nT. Slight enhancement due to the high-speed stream associated with the small patchy equatorial coronal holes (in the south hemisphere, with negative polarity) is possible but not very likely.

Geomagnetic conditions were quiet (Kp and K-Dourbes: 0-2). Quiet conditions are expected with possible short period of unsettled conditions due to possible slight enhancement of the solar wind.

Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 011, based on 21 stations.

Solar indices for 29 Mar 2021

Wolf number Catania011
10cm solar flux074
AK Chambon La Forêt007
AK Wingst004
Estimated Ap003
Estimated international sunspot number011 - Based on 30 stations

Noticeable events summary

DayBeginMaxEndLocStrengthOP10cmCatania/NOAARadio burst types
None

Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive

All times in UTC

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G1 - Minor geomagnetic storm

Observed Kp: 5
Threshold reached: 04:05 UTC

Current data suggests there is a moderate possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Gillam, MB, Yellowknife, NT
Fairbanks, AK

Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Edmonton, AB, Iqaluit, NU, Saskatoon, SK, Whitehorse, YT
Anchorage, AK, Juneau, AK
The solar wind speed is currently moderately high (678.5 km/sec.)
The Disturbance Storm Time index predicts moderate storm conditions right now (-57nT)

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