Viewing archive of Thursday, 10 June 2021

Daily bulletin on solar and geomagnetic activity from the SIDC

Issued: 2021 Jun 10 1245 UTC

SIDC Forecast

Valid from 1230 UTC, 10 Jun 2021 until 12 Jun 2021
Solar flares

Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)

Geomagnetism

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

Solar protons

Quiet

10cm fluxAp
10 Jun 2021078007
11 Jun 2021078005
12 Jun 2021077008

Bulletin

There are two numbered sunspot groups presently observed on the visible side of the solar disc, Catania sunspot group 2 and 6 (NOAA AR 2829 and 2832, respectively). Both of these regions have beta configuration of their photospheric magnetic field and could possibly be the source of flaring activity in the coming hours. During last 24 hours several B-class and one C-class flares were observed and we expect such a level of flaring activity to continue in the coming hours. There were two wide CMEs, of up to 100 degrees angular width, observed during last 24 hours (yesterday evening and this morning). The source region of both CMEs was behind the limb (for the first one behind the West solar limb, and for the second CME behind the East solar limb) therefore these CMEs are not expected to arrive to Earth. During last 24 hours the proton flux levels remained at background values.

The greater than 2MeV electron flux is bellow the 1000 pfu threshold, and we expect it will remain so during the next 24 hours. The 24h electron fluence is already for several days at normal levels and we expect it will stay so in the coming 24 hours.

Earth is presently inside the slow solar wind with velocity of about 340 km/s. The interplanetary magnetic field magnitude is 2 nT. During the last 24 hours the geomagnetic conditions were at the quiet to unsettled level and we expect they will stay so in the coming hours.

Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 027, based on 26 stations.

Solar indices for 09 Jun 2021

Wolf number Catania033
10cm solar flux079
AK Chambon La Forêt006
AK Wingst004
Estimated Ap003
Estimated international sunspot number027 - Based on 31 stations

Noticeable events summary

DayBeginMaxEndLocStrengthOP10cmCatania/NOAARadio burst types
None

Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive

All times in UTC

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G1 - Minor geomagnetic storm

Observed Kp: 5
Threshold reached: 00:51 UTC

Current data suggests there is a high possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Gillam, MB

Current data suggests there is a moderate possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Iqaluit, NU
Nuuk
Reykjavik

Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Tórshavn

Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following middle latitude regions in the near future

Thunder Bay, ON, Winnipeg, MB
The solar wind speed is currently moderately high (644.5 km/sec.)
The strength of the interplanetary magnetic field is moderate (10.56nT), the direction is slightly South (-3.95nT).
The Disturbance Storm Time index predicts moderate storm conditions right now (-69nT)

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