Viewing archive of Wednesday, 7 December 2022
Solar activity report
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2022 Dec 07 2200 UTCPrepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 341 Issued at 2200Z on 07 Dec 2022IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 06-2100Z to 07-2100Z
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 06-2100Z to 07-2100Z
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
III. Event Probabilities 08 Dec to 10 Dec
| Class M | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Class X | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Proton | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 07 Dec 148 Predicted 08 Dec-10 Dec 150/150/150 90 Day Mean 07 Dec 132
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 06 Dec 002/002 Estimated Afr/Ap 07 Dec 011/019 Predicted Afr/Ap 08 Dec-10 Dec 016/020-010/010-008/008
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 08 Dec to 10 Dec
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 40% | 20% | 15% |
| Minor storm | 25% | 05% | 01% |
| Major-severe storm | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 05% | 15% | 15% |
| Minor storm | 20% | 25% | 25% |
| Major-severe storm | 65% | 30% | 20% |
All times in UTC
Current data suggests there is a moderate possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
Whitehorse, YTFairbanks, AK
Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
Edmonton, AB, Gillam, MB, Saskatoon, SK, Yellowknife, NTAnchorage, AK, Juneau, AK
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