G2 geomagnetic storm watch

Wednesday, 3 November 2021 15:40 UTC

G2 geomagnetic storm watch

The NOAA SWPC has updated their WSA-ENLIL solar wind model with a new run that includes three coronal mass ejections. A new geomagnetic storm watch was also issued, being upgraded from a minor G1 geomagnetic storm watch to a moderate G2 geomagnetic storm watch.

Yesterday's M1.7 full halo coronal mass ejection stands out in this model run (see the tweet below) and is expected to arrive tomorrow at about 6 UTC. The M1.7 coronal mass ejection was a gorgeous asymmetrical full halo coronal mass ejection and it is expected to gobble up any other weaker eruptions that might be on the Sun-Earth line as well. The NOAA SWPC also upgraded the anticipated storm conditions to the moderate G2 (Kp6) geomagnetic storm level.

The SIDC has also revised their forecast today with the help of additional coronagraph data from STEREO-A COR 2 and now expects an impact tomorrow from 12 UTC onwards.

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