Analysis of the Solar Activity - 8 September 2014

Monday, 8 September 2014 15:33 UTC

Analysis of the past 24h

Both sunspot regions still have magnetic delta structures but solar activity remains rather low especially when you consider the regions currently on the earth-facing solar disk.

We begin with sunspot region 2157 which was the source of a couple of low-level M-class solar flares. This region remained stable but there are spots growing just south of region 2157. These new spots look to be a new sunspot region but they might be included in 2157. Two small delta spots remain present in it's trailing section and an M-class flare remains possible.

Sunspot region 2158 is very quiet but also remains a threat for a moderate to strong solar flare. While it is not very compact it does remain relativly stable with an easily identifiable Beta-Delta magnetic layout. This might be a sleeping giant: M-class activity can not be excluded from this region.

What can we expect in the upcoming 24h?

Both regions 2157 and 2158 keep their magnetic delta layouts. An isolated M-class event from either region can not be excluded.

M-class flare probability: 30% chance
X-class flare probability: 10% chance