Pogoda kosmiczna - Dyskusja

Odnotowany: 2024 Nov 13 0030 UTC
Przygotowane przez Departament do Spraw Komercjalizacji USA, NOAA, Centrum Prognozowania Pogody Kosmicznej (SWPC) i przetworzony przez SpaceWeatherLive.com

Aktywność słoneczna

Podsumowanie dobowe

Solar activity was at low levels. The largest flare was a C8.2 at 12/1401 UTC related to a filament eruption near N17W90. Slight decay was observed in Region 3883 (S06W74, Eao/beta) and 3889 (S09W02, Fki/beta-gamma-delta). The rest of the spotted regions were either stable or in decay. No Earth-directed CMEs were observed.

Prognoza

M-class flares (R1-R2/Minor-Moderate) are likely, with a chance for X-class flares (R3/Strong) on 13-15 Nov.

Cząsteczki energetyczne

Podsumowanie dobowe

The greater than 10 MeV proton flux was at background levels and the greater than 2 MeV electron flux was at normal to moderate levels.

Prognoza

There is a slight chance for the greater than 10 MeV proton flux to reach S1 (Minor) levels over 13-15 Nov. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux is expected to continue at normal to moderate levels through 14 Nov.

Wiatr słoneczny

Podsumowanie dobowe

Solar wind parameters were nominal. Solar wind speed ranged from 340 km/s to 415 km/s. Total field ranged from 2-6 nT while the Bz component was between +/-5 nT. Phi angle was mostly positive.

Prognoza

Enhanced solar wind conditions are expected to prevail over 13-15 Nov due to the onset of a positive polarity CH HSS.

Geoprzestrzeń

Podsumowanie dobowe

The geomagnetic field was quiet.

Prognoza

Unsettled to active levels, with a chance for G1 (Minor) storm levels, are expected on 13-15 Nov with CH HSS onset.