Pogoda kosmiczna - Dyskusja

Odnotowany: 2024 Nov 10 1230 UTC
Przygotowane przez Departament do Spraw Komercjalizacji USA, NOAA, Centrum Prognozowania Pogody Kosmicznej (SWPC) i przetworzony przez SpaceWeatherLive.com

Aktywność słoneczna

Podsumowanie dobowe

Solar activity reached moderate levels. Region 3889 (S10E38) produced an impulsive M4.2 flare (R1/Minor) at 10/0015 UTC; the largest event of the period. The region exhibited some growth around its leader spot. The remaining active regions on the visible disk were either stable or in decay. No Earth-directed CMEs were observed in available coronagraph imagery.

Prognoza

M-class flares (R1-R2/Minor-Moderate) are likely, with a slight chance for an X-class flare (R3-Strong), through 12 Nov.

Cząsteczki energetyczne

Podsumowanie dobowe

The greater than 10 MeV proton flux was at background levels and the greater than 2 MeV electron flux was at normal to moderate levels.

Prognoza

There is a slight chance for the greater than 10 MeV proton flux to reach S1 (Minor) levels over 10-12 Nov. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux is expected to continue at normal to moderate levels through 12 Nov.

Wiatr słoneczny

Podsumowanie dobowe

The solar wind environment remained enhanced this period. Total field strength ranged from 4-13 nT and the Bz reached as far south as -11 nT. Solar wind speeds averaged around 400 km/s throughout the period.

Prognoza

Enhanced solar wind conditions are expected to prevail over 10-12 Nov due to CH HSS influences.

Geoprzestrzeń

Podsumowanie dobowe

The geomagnetic field reached G1 (Minor) storm levels following a prolonged period of southward Bz.

Prognoza

The geomagnetic field is expected to reach active levels on 10-11 Nov, and quiet to unsettled levels on 12 Nov, due to CH HSS influences.