Viewing archive of Monday, 10 June 1996

Solar activity report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 1996 Jun 10 2200 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 162 Issued at 2200Z on 10 JUN 1996

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 09-2100Z to 10-2100Z

SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. NO FLARES OCCURRED. REGION 7968 (N02W56), THE ONLY ACTIVE REGION ON THE VISIBLE DISK, HAS BEGUN TO DECAY. THE REGION IS CURRENTLY A SEVEN SPOT 'CAO' GROUP COVERING AN AREA OF APPROXIMATELY 60 MILLIONTHS. REGION 7971 (S07W28), WHICH WAS NUMBERED YESTERDAY, HAS LOST ITS THREE SPOTS AND DECAYED INTO WIDELY SCATTERED PLAGE.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY LOW, WITH THE PROBABILITY OF EITHER A C-CLASS OR M-CLASS EVENT FROM REGION 7968 DOWN TO 30% AND 5% RESPECTIVELY.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 09-2100Z to 10-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD HAS BEEN AT QUIET TO UNSETTLED LEVELS FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS, WITH AN INCRESING CHANCE OF ISOLATED PERIODS OF ACTIVE CONDITIONS ON DAYS TWO AND THREE.
III. Event Probabilities 11 JUN to 13 JUN
Class M05%05%01%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFGREEN
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       10 JUN  069
  Predicted   11 JUN-13 JUN  070/070/070
  90 Day Mean        10 JUN  070
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
OBSERVED  AFR/AP 09 JUN  004/004
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 10 JUN  008/005
PREDICTED AFR/AP 11 JUN-13 JUN  010/010-010/010-010/010
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 11 JUN to 13 JUN
A. Middle Latitudes
Active20%20%20%
Minor storm10%10%10%
Major-severe storm05%05%05%
B. High Latitudes
Active20%20%20%
Minor storm10%10%10%
Major-severe storm05%05%05%

All times in UTC

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