Viewing archive of Friday, 23 August 1996

Solar activity report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 1996 Aug 23 2200 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 236 Issued at 2200Z on 23 AUG 1996

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 22-2100Z to 23-2100Z

SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS LOW. A C1 X-RAY EVENT OCCURED AT 23/0721Z WITH NO OPTICAL CORRELATION. REGION 7986 (S12E79) WAS NUMBERED TODAY.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY LOW. THE POSSIBILITY OF A C-CLASS FLARE DOES EXIST WITH THE NEW REGION 7986.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 22-2100Z to 23-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD HAS BEEN AT QUIET TO ACTIVE LEVELS FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS. THIS ACTIVITY MAY BE THE RESULT OF THE LONG DURATION EVENT WHICH OCCURED ON AUGUST 21ST.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD.
III. Event Probabilities 24 AUG to 26 AUG
Class M01%01%01%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFGREEN
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       23 AUG  074
  Predicted   24 AUG-26 AUG  075/076/077
  90 Day Mean        23 AUG  071
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
OBSERVED  AFR/AP 22 AUG  005/005
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 23 AUG  015/015
PREDICTED AFR/AP 24 AUG-26 AUG  008/008-008/008-010/008
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 24 AUG to 26 AUG
A. Middle Latitudes
Active10%10%15%
Minor storm05%05%05%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active10%10%20%
Minor storm05%05%10%
Major-severe storm01%01%05%

All times in UTC

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