Viewing archive of Sunday, 10 November 1996
Solar activity report
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 1996 Nov 10 2200 UTCPrepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 315 Issued at 2200Z on 10 NOV 1996IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 09-2100Z to 10-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. A B8 X-RAY FLARE
OCCURRED AT 09/2323Z. THIS FLARE WAS ASSOCIATED WITH A STRONG
TYPE II RADIO SWEEP AND MINOR DISCRETE FREQUENCY OUTPUT. NO
OPTICAL REPORTS WERE RECEIVED BUT THE SOURCE OF THIS SMALL
EVENT IS BELIEVED TO BE REGION 7993 (S02E51). NEW REGION
7994 (S12E33) EMERGED ON THE DISK AND IS GROWING SLOWLY.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE
VERY LOW. THERE IS A SMALL CHANCE OF A C-CLASS FLARE.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 09-2100Z to 10-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET TO UNSETTLED.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED.
III. Event Probabilities 11 NOV to 13 NOV
| Class M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Class X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 10 NOV 071 Predicted 11 NOV-13 NOV 072/072/072 90 Day Mean 10 NOV 070
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
OBSERVED AFR/AP 09 NOV 012/011 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 10 NOV 006/008 PREDICTED AFR/AP 11 NOV-13 NOV 005/010-005/012-005/015
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 11 NOV to 13 NOV
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Minor storm | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Minor storm | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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