Viewing archive of Friday, 22 November 1996

Solar activity report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 1996 Nov 22 2200 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 327 Issued at 2200Z on 22 NOV 1996

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 21-2100Z to 22-2100Z

SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. SEVERAL SUBFLARES FROM REGIONS 4999 (S04E48) AND 4997 (N05W26) HAVE OCCURRED.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY LOW WITH OCCASIONAL SUBFLARES EXPECTED.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 21-2100Z to 22-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD HAS BEEN AT QUIET LEVELS FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED.
III. Event Probabilities 23 NOV to 25 NOV
Class M01%01%01%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFGREEN
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       22 NOV  083
  Predicted   23 NOV-25 NOV  080/078/076
  90 Day Mean        22 NOV  070
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
OBSERVED  AFR/AP 21 NOV  005/005
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 22 NOV  005/005
PREDICTED AFR/AP 23 NOV-25 NOV  005/008-010/010-010/010
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 23 NOV to 25 NOV
A. Middle Latitudes
Active05%05%05%
Minor storm05%05%05%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active10%10%10%
Minor storm05%05%05%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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