Viewing archive of Tuesday, 14 January 1997

Solar activity report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 1997 Jan 14 2200 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 014 Issued at 2200Z on 14 JAN 1997

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 13-2100Z to 14-2100Z

SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. THERE ARE CURRENTLY NO SUNSPOT GROUPS ON THE VISIBLE DISK.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY LOW.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 13-2100Z to 14-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD HAS BEEN QUIET AT ALL LATITUDES.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS EXPECTED TO BE QUIET.
III. Event Probabilities 15 JAN to 17 JAN
Class M01%01%01%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFGREEN
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       14 JAN 075
  Predicted   15 JAN-17 JAN  074/074/074
  90 Day Mean        14 JAN 076
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
OBSERVED AFR/AP 13 JAN  008/005
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 14 JAN  004/005
PREDICTED AFR/AP 15 JAN-17 JAN  005/005-005/005-010/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 15 JAN to 17 JAN
A. Middle Latitudes
Active10%10%05%
Minor storm05%01%01%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active10%10%10%
Minor storm05%05%01%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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