Viewing archive of Tuesday, 14 January 1997
Solar activity report
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 014 Issued at 2200Z on 14 JAN 1997IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 13-2100Z to 14-2100Z
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 13-2100Z to 14-2100Z
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
III. Event Probabilities 15 JAN to 17 JAN
| Class M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Class X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 14 JAN 075 Predicted 15 JAN-17 JAN 074/074/074 90 Day Mean 14 JAN 076
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
OBSERVED AFR/AP 13 JAN 008/005 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 14 JAN 004/005 PREDICTED AFR/AP 15 JAN-17 JAN 005/005-005/005-010/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 15 JAN to 17 JAN
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 10% | 10% | 05% |
| Minor storm | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Minor storm | 05% | 05% | 01% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
Latest news
X4.0 solar flare
X5.1 solar flare, G4 geomagnetic storm watch
X1.2 solar flare with earth-directed CME
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Latest alerts
Friday, 14 November 2025
21:51 UTC - Solar flare
Moderate M1.33 flare from sunspot region 4274
21:36 UTC - Radio Blackout
Minor R1 radio blackout in progress (≥M1 - current: M1.33)
20:30 UTC - Solar flare
Moderate M1.37 flare from sunspot region 4274
20:15 UTC - Radio Blackout
Minor R1 radio blackout in progress (≥M1 - current: M1.37)
X4.0 solar flare
A X4.0 (R3-strong) solar flare peaked at 08:30 UTC this morning. It was of course departing sunspot region 4274 which has been the source of so many solar flares and even geomagnetic storms this past week that provided the fireworks.
Space weather facts
| Last X-flare | 2025/11/14 | X4.0 |
| Last M-flare | 2025/11/14 | M1.3 |
| Last geomagnetic storm | 2025/11/13 | Kp7+ (G3) |
| Spotless days | |
|---|---|
| Last spotless day | 2022/06/08 |
| Monthly mean Sunspot Number | |
|---|---|
| October 2025 | 114.6 -15.2 |
| November 2025 | 100.3 -14.3 |
| Last 30 days | 97.9 -36.5 |