Viewing archive of Monday, 9 June 1997

Solar activity report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 1997 Jun 09 2200 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

:::::::::: CORRECTED COPY :::::::::: SDF Number 160 Issued at 2200Z on 09 JUN 1997

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 08-2100Z to 09-2100Z

SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. A COUPLE OF MINOR UNCORRELATED B-CLASS XRAY BURSTS WERE OBSERVED. REGION 8048 (S28W80) CONTINUED TO DECAY. REGION 8050 (N27E43) REMAINED RELATIVELY STABLE. REGION 8051 (N21W22) DECAYED INTO A SPOTLESS PLAGE REGION.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN VERY LOW FOR THE ENTIRE FORECAST PERIOD.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 08-2100Z to 09-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET TO MINOR STORM AT MID LATITUDES AND UNSETTLED TO MAJOR STORM AT HIGH LATITUDES. THE GREATER THAN 2 MEV ENERGETIC ELECTRONS REACHED HIGH LEVELS AT 09/1816Z.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED FOR THE ENTIRE FORECAST PERIOD.
III. Event Probabilities 10 JUN to 12 JUN
Class M01%01%01%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFGREEN
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       09 JUN 073
  Predicted   10 JUN-12 JUN  074/074/072
  90 Day Mean        09 JUN 074
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
OBSERVED AFR/AP 08 JUN  012/011
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 09 JUN  024/030
PREDICTED AFR/AP 10 JUN-12 JUN  015/015-010/010-010/010
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 10 JUN to 12 JUN
A. Middle Latitudes
Active15%15%15%
Minor storm10%10%05%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active20%20%15%
Minor storm10%10%05%
Major-severe storm05%05%01%

All times in UTC

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