Viewing archive of Thursday, 12 June 1997

Solar activity report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 1997 Jun 12 2200 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 163 Issued at 2200Z on 12 JUN 1997

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 11-2100Z to 12-2100Z

SOLAR ACTIVITY REMAINED VERY LOW. A SMALL REGION EMERGED NEAR N17E39 AND WAS NUMBERED AS NEW REGION 8052.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN AT VERY LOW LEVELS FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 11-2100Z to 12-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET TO SLIGHTLY UNSETTLED. ENERGETIC ELECTRON FLUXES AT GEOSYNCHRONOUS ORBIT BECAME HIGH NEAR 12/1745Z.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS FORECAST TO BE PREDOMINANTLY QUIET FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS.
III. Event Probabilities 13 JUN to 15 JUN
Class M01%01%01%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFGREEN
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       12 JUN 070
  Predicted   13 JUN-15 JUN  071/072/072
  90 Day Mean        12 JUN 074
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
OBSERVED AFR/AP 11 JUN  004/003
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 12 JUN  007/005
PREDICTED AFR/AP 13 JUN-15 JUN  005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 13 JUN to 15 JUN
A. Middle Latitudes
Active10%10%10%
Minor storm05%05%05%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active10%10%10%
Minor storm05%05%05%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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