Viewing archive of Monday, 21 July 1997

Solar activity report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 1997 Jul 21 2200 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 202 Issued at 2200Z on 21 JUL 1997

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 20-2100Z to 21-2100Z

SOLAR ACTIVITY HAS BEEN VERY LOW FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS. THE VISIBLE DISK WAS SPOTLESS. SURGING WAS REPORTED NEAR SW34 DURING THE FIRST HALF OF THE UT DAY, AND A FAINT, ACTIVE FILAMENT WAS OBSERVED AT APPROXIMATELY 1500 UT IN AN UNNUMBERED PLAGE REGION NEAR N29E09. A BRIGHT REGION IN X-RAYS WAS OBSERVED ON THE LIMB NEAR NE25 BY THE YOHKOH SPACECRAFT. THIS AREA OF THE CORONA IS ALSO ENHANCED IN FE XIV AS REPORTED BY THE SACRAMENTO PEAK NATIONAL SOLAR OBSERVATORY.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY LOW.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 20-2100Z to 21-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET DURING THE PAST 24 HOURS WITH THE EXCEPTION OF ONE PERIOD OF UNSETTLED CONDITIONS BETWEEN 0600-0900 UT.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST AT QUIET LEVELS THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD.
III. Event Probabilities 22 JUL to 24 JUL
Class M01%01%01%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFGREEN
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       21 JUL 071
  Predicted   22 JUL-24 JUL  072/072/072
  90 Day Mean        21 JUL 072
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
OBSERVED AFR/AP 20 JUL  007/006
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 21 JUL  005/008
PREDICTED AFR/AP 22 JUL-24 JUL  005/008-005/008-005/012
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 22 JUL to 24 JUL
A. Middle Latitudes
Active05%05%10%
Minor storm05%05%05%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active05%10%15%
Minor storm05%05%05%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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