Viewing archive of Thursday, 18 June 1998
Solar activity report
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 1998 Jun 18 2200 UTCPrepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 169 Issued at 2200Z on 18 JUN 1998IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 17-2100Z to 18-2100Z
SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. REGION 8243 (N17W01)
PRODUCED A FEW SMALL B-CLASS SUBFLARES. THE LARGEST WAS A B2/SF AT
18/1928Z. OTHER REGIONS WERE QUIET.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY
LOW TO LOW. SMALL FLARES ARE EXPECTED IN REGION 8243.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 17-2100Z to 18-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED.
III. Event Probabilities 19 JUN to 21 JUN
| Class M | 10% | 05% | 05% |
| Class X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 18 JUN 100 Predicted 19 JUN-21 JUN 100/100/100 90 Day Mean 18 JUN 108
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
OBSERVED AFR/AP 17 JUN 002/005 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 18 JUN 005/005 PREDICTED AFR/AP 19 JUN-21 JUN 015/012-015/015-010/008
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 19 JUN to 21 JUN
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Minor storm | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Minor storm | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
Sodankylä, UtsjokiKirkenes, Tromsø
Murmansk
Kiruna
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