Viewing archive of Thursday, 12 November 1998
Solar activity report
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 316 Issued at 2200Z on 12 NOV 1998IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 11-2100Z to 12-2100Z
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 11-2100Z to 12-2100Z
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
III. Event Probabilities 13 NOV to 15 NOV
| Class M | 50% | 40% | 40% |
| Class X | 10% | 05% | 05% |
| Proton | 10% | 05% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 12 NOV 142 Predicted 13 NOV-15 NOV 140/140/138 90 Day Mean 12 NOV 132
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
OBSERVED AFR/AP 11 NOV 002/004 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 12 NOV 001/004 PREDICTED AFR/AP 13 NOV-15 NOV 015/015-015/020-010/010
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 13 NOV to 15 NOV
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 30% | 30% | 15% |
| Minor storm | 15% | 15% | 05% |
| Major-severe storm | 05% | 05% | 01% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 35% | 35% | 15% |
| Minor storm | 20% | 20% | 10% |
| Major-severe storm | 05% | 05% | 01% |
All times in UTC
Current data suggests there is a high possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
Fairbanks, AKCurrent data suggests there is a moderate possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
Gillam, MB, Whitehorse, YT, Yellowknife, NTAnchorage, AK, Juneau, AK
Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
Edmonton, AB, Saskatoon, SKLatest news
X1.1 solar flare
Coronal hole faces Earth
Strong G3 geomagnetic storm watch for 23 March
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