Viewing archive of Wednesday, 23 November 2005
Solar activity report
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2005 Nov 23 2204 UTCPrepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 327 Issued at 2200Z on 23 Nov 2005IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 22-2100Z to 23-2100Z
Solar activity was at very low levels. Regions 822
(S07W63) and 824 (S14E32) have been quiescent. No new regions were
numbered today.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be at
very low to low levels.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 22-2100Z to 23-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to unsettled levels. A weak shock
was observed by ACE at approximately 22/2100 UTC. Following the
shock, the solar wind briefly reached a maximum speed of about 500
km/s and the IMF turned southward to about -5 nT.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels.
III. Event Probabilities 24 Nov to 26 Nov
| Class M | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Class X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 23 Nov 090 Predicted 24 Nov-26 Nov 090/085/080 90 Day Mean 23 Nov 085
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 22 Nov 003/006 Estimated Afr/Ap 23 Nov 005/009 Predicted Afr/Ap 24 Nov-26 Nov 005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 24 Nov to 26 Nov
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Minor storm | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Minor storm | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
Edmonton, AB, Gillam, MB, Iqaluit, NU, Saskatoon, SK, Whitehorse, YT, Yellowknife, NTJuneau, AK
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