Viewing archive of Monday, 6 February 2006
Solar activity report
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2006 Feb 06 2204 UTCPrepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 037 Issued at 2200Z on 06 Feb 2006IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 05-2100Z to 06-2100Z
Solar activity was very low. No flares were observed
during the past 24 hours.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to remain
very low.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 05-2100Z to 06-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to active. An active period occurred
from 0300-0600 UTC. The source of the elevated activity appears to
be a sector boundary crossing.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet for the next three days (07-09 February).
III. Event Probabilities 07 Feb to 09 Feb
| Class M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Class X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 06 Feb 075 Predicted 07 Feb-09 Feb 075/075/075 90 Day Mean 06 Feb 087
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 05 Feb 003/003 Estimated Afr/Ap 06 Feb 010/012 Predicted Afr/Ap 07 Feb-09 Feb 005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 07 Feb to 09 Feb
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Minor storm | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Minor storm | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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