Viewing archive of Monday, 13 March 2006
Solar activity report
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 072 Issued at 2200Z on 13 Mar 2006IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 12-2100Z to 13-2100Z
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 12-2100Z to 13-2100Z
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
III. Event Probabilities 14 Mar to 16 Mar
| Class M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Class X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 13 Mar 073 Predicted 14 Mar-16 Mar 073/075/075 90 Day Mean 13 Mar 081
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 12 Mar 003/006 Estimated Afr/Ap 13 Mar 002/004 Predicted Afr/Ap 14 Mar-16 Mar 008/015-005/010-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 14 Mar to 16 Mar
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 15% | 10% | 10% |
| Minor storm | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 30% | 20% | 15% |
| Minor storm | 15% | 10% | 05% |
| Major-severe storm | 05% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
Current data suggests there is a moderate possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
Oulu, Rovaniemi, Sodankylä, UtsjokiKirkenes, Tromsø
Murmansk, Norilsk, Vorkuta
Kiruna, Luleå
Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
KuopioTrondheim
Arkhangelsk
Sundsvall, Umeå
Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following middle latitude regions in the near future
TamperePetrozavodsk, Surgut, Syktyvkar
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