Viewing archive of Saturday, 1 April 2006
Solar activity report
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2006 Apr 01 2204 UTCPrepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 091 Issued at 2200Z on 01 Apr 2006IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 31-2100Z to 01-2100Z
Solar activity was very low. Today's activity consisted
of a few B-class flares. The largest of these was a B7 at 0040Z from
Region 865 (S12E07). This region continues to grow slowly,
particularly in the intermediate spots, and it does show some
magnetic complexity.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low. There is a chance for an isolated C-class event from
Region 865 during the next three days (02-04 April).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 31-2100Z to 01-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled for the next three days (02-04
April)
III. Event Probabilities 02 Apr to 04 Apr
| Class M | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Class X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 01 Apr 087 Predicted 02 Apr-04 Apr 090/090/090 90 Day Mean 01 Apr 079
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 31 Mar 002/004 Estimated Afr/Ap 01 Apr 003/005 Predicted Afr/Ap 02 Apr-04 Apr 008/008-008/008-008/008
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 02 Apr to 04 Apr
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Minor storm | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Major-severe storm | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Minor storm | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Major-severe storm | 05% | 05% | 05% |
All times in UTC
Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
Oulu, Rovaniemi, Sodankylä, UtsjokiReykjavik
Kirkenes, Tromsø
Murmansk
Kiruna, Luleå
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