Viewing archive of Sunday, 28 January 2007

Solar activity report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2007 Jan 28 2204 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 028 Issued at 2200Z on 28 Jan 2007

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 27-2100Z to 28-2100Z

Solar activity was very low. Region 940 (S06E49) produced two B-class flares during the past 24 hours. The largest was a long-duration B3 flare at 27/2305Z. This region has developed two new spots and now has a beta magnetic configuration.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be very low to low.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 27-2100Z to 28-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels again today.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected to be unsettled to active for the next three days. Isolated minor to major storm periods at high latitudes are possible on 29-30 January due to a recurrent coronal hole high speed stream.
III. Event Probabilities 29 Jan to 31 Jan
Class M05%05%05%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       28 Jan 082
  Predicted   29 Jan-31 Jan  085/090/090
  90 Day Mean        28 Jan 084
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
  Observed Afr/Ap 27 Jan  003/003
  Estimated     Afr/Ap 28 Jan  008/010
  Predicted    Afr/Ap 29 Jan-31 Jan  012/020-015/020-010/015
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 29 Jan to 31 Jan
A. Middle Latitudes
Active25%30%25%
Minor storm15%15%10%
Major-severe storm05%05%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active30%30%25%
Minor storm20%20%15%
Major-severe storm15%15%10%

All times in UTC

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