Viewing archive of Monday, 18 June 2007

Solar activity report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2007 Jun 18 2202 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 169 Issued at 2200Z on 18 Jun 2007

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 17-2100Z to 18-2100Z

Solar activity was very low. The visible disk remains spotless.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to remain very low.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 17-2100Z to 18-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet to unsettled on 19 June. Expect unsettled to active conditions, with minor storm periods possible, on 20-21 June as a recurrent coronal hole moves into a geoeffective position,
III. Event Probabilities 19 Jun to 21 Jun
Class M01%01%01%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       18 Jun 067
  Predicted   19 Jun-21 Jun  068/068/068
  90 Day Mean        18 Jun 074
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
  Observed Afr/Ap 17 Jun  003/006
  Estimated     Afr/Ap 18 Jun  003/005
  Predicted    Afr/Ap 19 Jun-21 Jun  008/010-012/015-015/020
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 19 Jun to 21 Jun
A. Middle Latitudes
Active20%25%30%
Minor storm10%15%20%
Major-severe storm01%05%10%
B. High Latitudes
Active25%30%35%
Minor storm15%20%25%
Major-severe storm05%10%15%

All times in UTC

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